The "Swing Trader, Popular Stocks: Short Bias Strategy (TA&FA)" developed by Tickeron's robot factory has generated impressive returns of 6.53% on RIOT over the course of a week. As technical analysts, we'll delve into the indicators and earnings report to assess the current state of RIOT and explore potential trading strategies.
Technical Analysis: The 10-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator for RIOT exhibited a notable shift on April 19, 2023, moving out of the overbought territory. This change suggests a potential transition from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders observing this indicator may consider selling the stock or purchasing put options.
Drawing upon Tickeron's A.I.dvisor, which analyzed 34 similar instances of the indicator moving out of the overbought zone, we observe that in 31 out of the 34 cases, the stock price subsequently declined. This statistical trend indicates a 90% likelihood of a downward movement in RIOT's price.
Earnings Report: Turning our attention to the latest earnings report released on May 10, RIOT displayed positive results. The company reported earnings per share of 3 cents, surpassing the estimated -15 cents. With 3.64 million shares outstanding, the current market capitalization of RIOT stands at 1.90 billion.
Analysis: The combination of technical indicators and the positive earnings report provides valuable insights for traders considering RIOT as a potential investment. The RSI indicator moving out of the overbought territory suggests a potential reversal in the stock's upward momentum. Moreover, historical analysis of similar instances indicates a strong probability of a downward price movement in the days to come.
However, it is important to note that positive earnings results could potentially counteract the expected downward trend. The earnings per share beating estimates indicates that RIOT may be performing better than anticipated. Traders should carefully weigh the technical signals against the earnings report and exercise caution when making investment decisions.
In conclusion, the AI trading robot "Swing Trader, Popular Stocks: Short Bias Strategy (TA&FA)" has demonstrated exceptional performance, generating impressive returns of 6.53% on RIOT within a week. Technical indicators, specifically the RSI, suggest a potential shift from an upward trend to a downward trend. Additionally, the recent earnings report reveals positive results, with earnings per share surpassing estimates.
On November 27, 2024, the Stochastic Oscillator for RIOT moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 60 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In of the 60 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over .
The 50-day moving average for RIOT moved above the 200-day moving average on December 03, 2024. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where RIOT advanced for three days, in of 266 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 233 cases where RIOT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The 10-day RSI Indicator for RIOT moved out of overbought territory on November 13, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 39 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 39 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on December 09, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on RIOT as a result. In of 76 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for RIOT turned negative on November 19, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 40 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 40 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where RIOT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
RIOT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 06, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. RIOT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. RIOT’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 68, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.540) is normal, around the industry mean (5.702). P/E Ratio (75.188) is within average values for comparable stocks, (34.442). RIOT's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (2.610). RIOT has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.030). P/S Ratio (7.153) is also within normal values, averaging (112.495).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a financial conglomerate
Industry InvestmentBanksBrokers