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Vitalii Liubimov's Avatar
published in Blogs
Dec 30, 2020

High Probability Bullish Signals Generated on Two Steel Companies

Base metals have been rallying sharply over the last three months and a number of stocks in the industry have seen huge gains. Steel prices have been rising and it has taken steel stocks higher with it. The stocks have seen small pullbacks in the last month and that may be creating a buying opportunity.

On December 29, Tickeron’s A.I.dvisor generated bullish signals on two steel companies and the confidence levels of those two signals were extremely high. The AI trend prediction tool generated a bullish signal on Nucor Corp. (NUE) and on US Steel (X). The confidence level for the Nucor signal was 90% and the confidence level on the signal for US Steel was 88%. These signals are for the next month.

Looking at the daily charts for the two stocks we see very different paths higher. For Nucor, the rally has been pretty consistent since the low in March, and it has been even more consistent in the last five months with a trend channel forming. The stock has just bounced off of the lower rail of the channel and support at its 50-day moving average.

We also see that the daily stochastic indicators are in oversold territory and are in the process of making a bullish crossover.

US Steel’s chart isn’t quite as consistent. We see that the stock rallied from March through mid-June before falling. From late June through mid-September the stock was range bound. The stock really took off though and from late September through early December it gained over 190%. The stock peaked at $20 on December 9 and then pulled back for a few weeks.

We see that the pullback in US Steel caused its daily stochastic indicators to drop sharply and they went from overbought to oversold. The indicators, like we saw with Nucor, are in the process of making a bullish crossover.

I have to be honest, these signals are based almost exclusively on technical factors because neither of the companies have very good fundamental ratings. On the Tickeron Fundamental Analysis Screener, Nucor has two positive indicators and two negative indicators with three neutral readings. US Steel only has one positive indicator and one neutral indicator, the other five are negative readings.

The Tickeron scorecard gives both stocks a “sell” rating, but the scorecard ratings are looking out beyond the next month and they rely on fundamental factors more heavily. The one fundamental indicator where both companies receive a positive reading is the Valuation Rating. Nucor scores an 8 and US Steel scores a 27.

The comparison feature from Tickeron shows how the companies compare to one another and how they stack up against other stacks based on the scores from both the fundamental indicators and the technical indicators.

Related Ticker: X

X in upward trend: 10-day moving average broke above 50-day moving average on July 08, 2024

The 10-day moving average for X crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on July 08, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart
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Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Nucor Corp (NYSE:NUE), ArcelorMittal (NYSE:MT), United States Steel Corp (NYSE:X), Cleveland-Cliffs (NYSE:CLF).

Industry description

The steel industry includes manufacturers of steel and steel-related products. Companies use iron ore and scrap steel to produce steel. The industry also includes companies involved in mining and marketing of steel products. Along with serving some of the domestic markets, U.S. steel output has, over the years, been used by international economies as well. Competition from imported steel has also increased over time. The industry could be susceptible to business cycles, since the element is an important input in industrial production. Some of the globally-renowned steel behemoths include Nucor Corporation, Vale, and ArcelorMittal SA.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Steel Industry is 5.29B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 107.02K to 37.65B. NUE holds the highest valuation in this group at 37.65B. The lowest valued company is GCIN at 107.02K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Steel Industry was -0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 3%, and the average quarterly price growth was -8%. USAP experienced the highest price growth at 8%, while KLKNF experienced the biggest fall at -29%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Steel Industry was 32%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -3% and the average quarterly volume growth was 53%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 21
P/E Growth Rating: 37
Price Growth Rating: 63
SMR Rating: 69
Profit Risk Rating: 69
Seasonality Score: 1 (-100 ... +100)
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Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if shorted
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a manufacture of integrated steel products

Industry Steel

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Steel
Address
600 Grant Street
Phone
+1 412 433-1121
Employees
21803
Web
https://www.ussteel.com
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