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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Dec 18, 2020
Homebuilders rejoiced in 2020, but will the strength continue?

Homebuilders rejoiced in 2020, but will the strength continue?

The surge in residential real estate has been one of the unexpected themes of 2020. Homebuilders have been posting strong results in the process, as millennials increasingly turn to remote work and ditch city centers for suburbs. One such homebuilder, Lennar, reported strong profits in Q4 as activity remained robust and as interest rates continue to anchor to record lows. 

The question for investors is, will this housing strength continue? Or has the pandemic-induced wave of new homebuyers run its course, only to give way to softer activity in 2021? A.I.dvisor has some insight, with the analysis below comparing Lennar Corp., PulteGroup, and Toll Brothers. 

 

he homebuilder reported higher profit in the fiscal fourth quarter as demand for homeownership remains elevated due to lower borrowing costs and the pandemic.According to our system of comparison, LEN is a better buy in the short-term than PHM and TOL.

Related Ticker: LEN

LEN's RSI Indicator is sitting in oversold zone for 1 day

It is expected that a price bounce should occur soon.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 7 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where LEN advanced for three days, in of 309 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

LEN may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on February 25, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on LEN as a result. In of 84 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for LEN turned negative on February 24, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 52 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 52 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

LEN moved below its 50-day moving average on March 02, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for LEN crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on March 05, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where LEN declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. LEN’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.173) is normal, around the industry mean (28.000). P/E Ratio (13.070) is within average values for comparable stocks, (56.801). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.979) is also within normal values, averaging (1.646). Dividend Yield (0.019) settles around the average of (0.040) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.786) is also within normal values, averaging (24.853).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. LEN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are DR Horton (NYSE:DHI), Lennar Corp (NYSE:LEN), Pultegroup (NYSE:PHM), KB Home (NYSE:KBH).

Industry description

Homebuilding includes companies residential home construction companies, renovators and repair firms. The companies may be building single-family or multifamily homes, condominiums or mobile homes. Over the five years to 2019, the Home Builders industry is estimated to have grown at an annualized rate of 2.5% to reach $89.4 billion, (including expected growth of 2.6% in 2019), according to a study by IbisWorld. After having suffered one of its worst crises a decade ago during the last macroeconomic recession–which had much of its origins in U.S. real estate – the homebuilding industry has been recovering steadily so far. Higher disposable incomes and improving economic activity have bolstered consumers’ purchases of homes. While revenue of the Home Builders industry remains well below its prerecession high, demand growth estimates show promise.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Homebuilding Industry is 6.66B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 66.68K to 44.73B. DHI holds the highest valuation in this group at 44.73B. The lowest valued company is ASCK at 66.68K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Homebuilding Industry was -9%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -8%, and the average quarterly price growth was -9%. SPHL experienced the highest price growth at 9%, while BDCC experienced the biggest fall at -71%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Homebuilding Industry was 1,995%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -19% and the average quarterly volume growth was -15%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 45
P/E Growth Rating: 41
Price Growth Rating: 62
SMR Rating: 71
Profit Risk Rating: 77
Seasonality Score: -21 (-100 ... +100)
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published price charts
These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. LEN showed earnings on December 16, 2025. You can read more about the earnings report here.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a builder of residential buildings and provides residential mortgage, title and closing services

Industry Homebuilding

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Homebuilding
Address
5505 Waterford District Drive
Phone
+1 305 559-4000
Employees
12284
Web
https://www.lennar.com
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