Hormel Foods posted its fiscal third-quarter earnings that missed analyst’ expectations, even as revenue surpassed estimates.
The consumer food company’s sales in the quarter grew +6% from the year-ago period to $3.03 billion, above the consensus of $2.98 billion (as reported in Benzinga). Earnings per share of $0.40 , however, came in below the analyst consensus of $0.41.
Net sales for Refrigerated Foods rose +2% year-over-year and that for Grocery Products climbed +25%, while Jennie-O Turkey Store decreased -8%, and International & other sales fell -5%.
Hormel’s gross margin in the quarter expanded +190 basis points from the year-ago to 16.7%.
For full fiscal year 2022, Hormel boosted its sales outlook to a range of $12.2 billion to $12.8 billion from prior guidance of $11.7 billion to $12.5 billion . The consensus is $12.45 billion.
The company cut its EPS outlook to $1.78 to $1.85, from previous forecast of $1.87 to $1.97. Analysts’ consensus is $1.88.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for HRL turned positive on September 28, 2026. Looking at past instances where HRL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 23 of 42 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 55%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on HRL as a result. In 40 of 82 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 49%.
HRL moved above its 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for HRL crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 6 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 43%.
Following a +3.25% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where HRL advanced for three days, in 133 of 300 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 44%.
The 10-day RSI Indicator for HRL moved out of overbought territory on October 23, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 29 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 19 of the 29 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 66%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 37 of 62 cases where HRL's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 60%.
The 50-day moving average for HRL moved below the 200-day moving average on October 01, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where HRL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.
HRL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for HRL entered a downward trend on October 21, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 4 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. HRL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 74 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.493) is normal, around the industry mean (7.678). HRL has a moderately high P/E Ratio (34.323) as compared to the industry average of (6.461). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.405) is also within normal values, averaging (8.458). Dividend Yield (0.055) settles around the average of (0.048) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.942) is also within normal values, averaging (5.003).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 84 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. HRL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock worse than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a manufacturer of meat products and other prepared foods
Industry FoodMajorDiversified