GET DAILY SIGNALSHormel Foods (HRL, $48.15) beats fiscal Q4 earnings expectations; provides lower-than-expected revenue guidance
Hormel Foods reported fourth-quarter earnings that topped analysts’ expectations. However, the food company’s forecast for 2023 sales were lower than anticipated.
Diluted earnings for the quarter came in at 51 cents a share, vs. Wall Street analysts’ expectations of 50 cents a share. Net sales in the quarter were down -5% year-over-year to $3.3 billion, with organic net sales up +2%, excluding the impact of an additional week last year.
For the full fiscal year 2022, Hormel registered record net sales of $12.5 billion, up +9%; organic net sales having climbed 6%, excluding the partial-year impact of the Planters snack nuts business and an additional week last year..Diluted earnings per share were +10% up to $1.82.
For 2023, Hormel predicted $12.6 billion to $12.9 billion in net sales, while analysts expected $13.1 billion in net sales. “We expect to operate in a volatile, complex and high-cost environment again in fiscal 2023,” CEO Jim Snee said. “We have benefited from our balanced business model, which is not heavily dependent on any one channel, protein, input or product category.”
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Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
HRL in upward trend: 10-day moving average crossed above 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026
The 10-day moving average for HRL crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 7 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 50%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on HRL as a result. In 40 of 81 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 49%.
HRL moved above its 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +2.73% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where HRL advanced for three days, in 134 of 300 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 45%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 51 of 135 cases where HRL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 38%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for HRL moved out of overbought territory on November 06, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 30 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 18 of the 30 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 60%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 36 of 62 cases where HRL's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where HRL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 57%.
HRL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 5 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. HRL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.540) is normal, around the industry mean (6.914). HRL has a moderately high P/E Ratio (35.403) as compared to the industry average of (7.137). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.405) is also within normal values, averaging (8.458). Dividend Yield (0.053) settles around the average of (0.049) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.942) is also within normal values, averaging (5.003).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 84 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. HRL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 93, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a manufacturer of meat products and other prepared foods
Industry FoodMajorDiversified
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