Go to the list of all blogs
Rick Pendergraft's Avatar
published in Blogs
Jun 12, 2020

Housing Industry Changing Due to Pandemic

Almost every industry has been affected by the COVID-19 virus in the last few months. The global pandemic has changed how entire industries conduct business and it has had both positive and negative impacts. Industries such as software have actually benefitted as demand for products that help people work remotely have jumped. Seeing that type of change isn’t really surprising.

One industry that seems to be benefitting, and it’s somewhat surprising, is the housing industry.

The housing industry includes manufacturers of single-family homes and multifamily homes. It also includes builders of condominiums and mobile homes. The industry experienced a terrible crisis from 2005 through 2011 as the global financial crisis hit.

The financial crisis had much of its origins in the U.S. real estate market and that hit the housing industry hard. The industry has been recovering since with New Home Sales trending higher since hitting a low in February 2011.

The annualized rate for new home sales bottomed at 270K in 2011 and it recently peaked in January at 774K. New home sales still aren’t anywhere near the all time high of 1.389 million reached in July 2oo5.

Economists were expecting a big decline in new homes sales in April, but instead the annualized rate increased from March to April. The consensus estimate was for an annualized rate of 485K and it actually came in at 623K. That was actually a small increase from the March reading of 619K.

I have two theories as to why new home sales are doing much better than economists thought. First, the current health crisis is causing many people to rethink their current lifestyle. Instead of wanting to live in the heart of heavily populated cities in high-rises with thousands of others, some people are choosing to move out to the suburbs.

My second theory is based on how so many people are working from home and spending far more time there with their entire family. This may be inspiring people to look for larger living quarters. There is also a trend for companies to make telecommuting a permanent policy. This allows people to move to more affordable areas and away from cities with high housing costs like San Francisco, New York, etc.

Of course another factor is the incredibly low mortgage rates. The housing industry is very dependent on low interest rates and rates hit historically low levels in March. The 10-year treasury yield is the foundation for most rate pricing at mortgage companies. The yield on the 10-year fell below 1.0% in February.

Turning our attention to some of the stocks in the industry, I am impressed with how some of the biggest homebuilders look in terms of their fundamentals. The following table is from Investor’s Business Daily and it shows how these five companies all have extremely good EPS ratings and all have above average SMR ratings.

The EPS ratings measure the company’s earnings growth over the last few years with an emphasis on the most recent quarters. The SMR rating measures the company’s sales growth, profit margin, and return on equity. On the EPS ratings’ scale, 99 is the best a company can get and on the SMR grading system, an A is the highest score.

Looking at Tickeron’s Trend Prediction Engine for June 12, all five of the companies in the table above received buy signals on June 11. This means all of the stocks are expected to move up at least 2% over the next week.

Personally I think these stocks could see an upward trend for several quarters. There are a number of the stocks in the group that have shot up considerably from their March lows. This has put several members of the industry in overbought territory on their weekly charts, but the selling we saw in the first half of this week could be providing a short-term buying opportunity.

If we see additional selling in the next few weeks, it could provide a long-term buying opportunity. A correction that lasts a few weeks will move the stocks out of overbought territory. Given the strong fundamental ratings of the five stocks listed above, I will be looking for a possible entry point for a trade that lasts for several months or even a couple of quarters.

Related Ticker: KBH

Aroon Indicator for KBH shows an upward move is likely

KBH's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on March 28, 2024. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 301 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 301 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 57 cases where KBH's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on March 28, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on KBH as a result. In of 94 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where KBH advanced for three days, in of 324 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for KBH moved out of overbought territory on March 14, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 39 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 39 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for KBH turned negative on March 15, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where KBH declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

KBH broke above its upper Bollinger Band on February 29, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 54, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.360) is normal, around the industry mean (6.218). P/E Ratio (9.477) is within average values for comparable stocks, (88.953). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (1.436). KBH has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.011) as compared to the industry average of (0.043). P/S Ratio (0.872) is also within normal values, averaging (75.188).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. KBH’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are DR Horton (NYSE:DHI), Lennar Corp (NYSE:LEN), Pultegroup (NYSE:PHM), KB Home (NYSE:KBH).

Industry description

Homebuilding includes companies residential home construction companies, renovators and repair firms. The companies may be building single-family or multifamily homes, condominiums or mobile homes. Over the five years to 2019, the Home Builders industry is estimated to have grown at an annualized rate of 2.5% to reach $89.4 billion, (including expected growth of 2.6% in 2019), according to a study by IbisWorld. After having suffered one of its worst crises a decade ago during the last macroeconomic recession–which had much of its origins in U.S. real estate – the homebuilding industry has been recovering steadily so far. Higher disposable incomes and improving economic activity have bolstered consumers’ purchases of homes. While revenue of the Home Builders industry remains well below its prerecession high, demand growth estimates show promise.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Homebuilding Industry is 6.9B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 66.68K to 53.77B. DHI holds the highest valuation in this group at 53.77B. The lowest valued company is ASCK at 66.68K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Homebuilding Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 4%, and the average quarterly price growth was 28%. DFH experienced the highest price growth at 10%, while STHI experienced the biggest fall at -10%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Homebuilding Industry was -68%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -59% and the average quarterly volume growth was -61%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 39
P/E Growth Rating: 36
Price Growth Rating: 50
SMR Rating: 55
Profit Risk Rating: 53
Seasonality Score: -27 (-100 ... +100)
View a ticker or compare two or three
KBHDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
Show more...
Ad is loading...
A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a constructor and seller single family homes as well as condominium complexes

Industry Homebuilding

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Homebuilding
Address
10990 Wilshire Boulevard
Phone
+1 310 231-4000
Employees
2205
Web
https://www.kbhome.com
Ad is loading...
Discover the dynamic world of cryptocurrency trading with Tickeron's AI analysis. Capitalize on bullish and bearish patterns in Origin Protocol (OGN.X), with gains up to 27.80%. Stay ahead with Tickeron's real-time insights and make informed trading decisions. #CryptoTrading #AIAnalysis #OriginProtocol #InvestSmart
#latest#popular#patterns#artificial_intelligence#trading#technical_analysis
Dive into the world of trading excellence with our Best AI Robot of the week! In a market characterized by growth, the key to maximizing profits lies not only in mainstream large-cap stocks but also in exploring opportunities across different market segments.
This article delves into the performance of AI trading robots, specifically those utilizing the "Swing trader: Long-Short Equity Strategy (TA&FA)." These bots showcased their prowess by delivering a notable +4.98% gain while engaging in MRNA trades over the previous week. Beyond mere statistics, we explore the technical indicators and recent earnings report of MRNA to shed light on the underlying dynamics influencing the stock.
Artificial intelligence (AI) trading bots have become powerful tools for investors seeking active trading opportunities. In a recent analysis conducted on the "Day Trader: High Volatility Stocks for Active Trading (TA&FA)" platform, AI trading bots exhibited impressive performance, generating a noteworthy +4.81% gain while actively trading Shopify (SHOP) over the course of the previous week.
In the dynamic world of finance, strategic asset acquisition is a game-changer. Recently, a group of stocks within this domain has been in the spotlight, showcasing notable performances and intriguing patterns. This article delves into the recent movements of these stocks, focusing on key indicators, market capitalization, notable price events, and volume dynamics.
Urology companies, comprising EDAP (EDAP), Teleflex (TFX), and UroGen Pharma (URGN), have shown a remarkable +6.67% increase in performance over the last week. In this analysis, we delve into various indicators and metrics to better understand the current landscape and individual trajectories within this thematic sector.
In the ever-evolving landscape of financial markets, Artificial Intelligence (AI) trading robots have emerged as potent tools for investors seeking an edge. The recent performance of the AI trading robots accessible through "Swing Trader, Popular Stocks: Short Bias Strategy (TA&FA)" has caught the attention of market participants. Notably, these bots generated an impressive +10.22% gain in a week, with a focus on trading TSM (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company).
In the fast-paced world of stock trading, artificial intelligence (AI) has become a game-changer, with trading robots demonstrating impressive results. The "Day Trader: Medium Volatility Stocks for Active Trading (TA&FA)" platform recently showcased the effectiveness of its bots, generating a notable +7.86% gain while actively trading AMD over the past week.
​​​​​​​Aluminum companies have witnessed a remarkable surge in performance, with a collective increase of +8.75% over the past week. In this analysis, we delve into the dynamics of this surge, focusing on key indicators and individual stock movements. The tickers in focus are CENX, AA, KALU, and CSTM.
​​​​​​​Propane gas companies, represented by tickers NGL, SGU, and SPH, have exhibited a remarkable +8.22% increase in performance over the past week. This surge is substantiated by various technical indicators, fostering a positive outlook for investors. In this analysis, we delve into key indicators, market capitalization, notable price movements, and volume fluctuations to provide a comprehensive understanding of the current landscape.
The Tickeron quant team is delighted to introduce our best robot of the week tailored for Trend Traders. Our sophisticated AI Robot, has been designed for manual trading enthusiasts who value independent signal selection.
In the fast-paced world of AI trading, algorithms powered by sophisticated technical analysis tools are making waves. The "Swing trader: Top High-Volatility Stocks v.2 (TA)" bots have proven their mettle, securing a remarkable +6.02% gain in a week of trading AVGO.
Artificial intelligence (AI) trading robots have become an integral part of the market landscape. One such example is the "Swing Trader, Popular Stocks: Short Bias Strategy (TA&FA)" bot, which showcased impressive results with a +5.54% gain while trading LRCX over the past week. In this article, we delve into the technical analysis of LRCX, examining its recent earnings report and broader industry trends.
The drilling industry has recently experienced a commendable upswing, with a substantial 8.22% surge in performance over the past week. In this article, we will dissect the current dynamics of key players in this sector, focusing on prominent tickers such as DO, RIG, HP, NBR, NR, PDS, and PTEN.
In the realm of AI-driven trading, the "Swing Trader: ETFs for Growing Industries (TA)" platform recently showcased impressive results, with its trading bots generating a noteworthy +5.09% gain while actively trading TQQQ over the past week. As we delve into the intricacies of these AI trading strategies, let's dissect the recent earning results and market indicators to better understand the driving forces behind their success.
In the fast-paced world of AI-driven trading, the utilization of sophisticated algorithms and technical analysis tools is becoming increasingly prevalent. One notable example is the Trend Trader, Popular Stocks: Price Action Trading Strategy (TA&FA), which demonstrated its prowess by generating a commendable +5.02% gain while trading NVDA over the past week. Let's delve into the technical indicators and earnings results to gain a comprehensive understanding of NVDA's current market standing.
In the fast-paced realm of biotech and pharmaceuticals, a group of stocks, including giants like Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), Amgen (AMGN), Pfizer (PFE), Astex Pharmaceuticals (ATXS), AnaptysBio (ANAB), and Zymeworks (ZYME), witnessed a noteworthy 8.55% surge in performance over the past week. However, a closer look at various indicators suggests caution, signaling a potential downturn.
In the dynamic landscape of the energy sector, onshore oil exploration companies have recently experienced a remarkable upswing, with a notable 7.13% increase in performance over the past week. This surge has captivated market attention, and several key indicators point towards a sustained positive outlook. In this analysis, we delve into the financial health, market dynamics, and recent events surrounding prominent tickers in this domain - PXD, CNQ, PDS, PTEN, and FANG.
Tickeron's Quant team is delighted to introduce our latest AI-powered robot designed for trading small-cap stocks, employing a distinctive fundamental stock analysis algorithm. This algorithm, renowned for its blend of in-depth analysis and intuitive signal-following capabilities, is well-suited for both novice and seasoned traders.
In the dynamic world of stock trading, the utilization of AI trading robots has become increasingly prevalent. One such example is the "Trend Trader, Popular Stocks: Price Action Trading Strategy (TA&FA)," which showcased its prowess by yielding a remarkable +4.98% gain while trading ZIM over the previous week. As we delve into the intricacies of ZIM's recent performance, let's analyze the earnings results, market indicators, and industry trends that shape the narrative.