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Mar 02, 2018
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How Artificial Intelligence Predicted the Bitcoin Crash

How Artificial Intelligence Predicted the Bitcoin Crash

On January 17, Tickeron’s Artificial Intelligence (Pattern Search Engine) confirmed a “Broadening Bottom Pattern” for Bitcoin. The AI made a prediction was bold and difficult to believe, given Bitcoin’s powerful rise over the last year.

Tickeron’s Artificial Intelligence was predicting a -40.53% crash.

At the time of the prediction, Bitcoin (BTC.X) was trading at a little over $11,000, but according to the AI’s forecast, it believed with 88.78% confidence that the price was set to plunge below $6,000.

What happened next is astonishing:

●  BTC.X ‘breakout price’ set by AI on January 17: $11,491 (reached on January 18)
●  BTC.X price on February 5: $6,914

On a price basis, that marks a 39% decline, meaning the AI’s forecast was remarkably close to being on target. To note, the AI never makes any predictions with certainty, but calling for this Bitcoin crash is a significant indicator of the AI’s potential.

Here’s how the prediction was displayed at the time of inception. You can see the breakout price, target price, and an image of the “Broadening Bottom Pattern” in the chart:

For investors who are new to pattern trading, a Broadening Bottom pattern forms when a security’s price progressively makes higher highs (2 and 4 in the Bitcoin chart) and lower lows (1, 3, 5), creating two widening trend lines. The price is expected to move up or down past the pattern depending on which line is broken first — in this case, the lower boundary.

For investors who are subscribed to Tickeron’s AI-powered Pattern Search Engine and received an alert of this Broadening Bottom pattern for Bitcoin, there could have been a few trading options. One option might have been to sell Bitcoin and buy it back at a lower price — assuming the trader believed the declines would be significant but also temporary. Another possibility would have been to purchase a put option on Bitcoin at the time of the AI’s prediction when the price was still high.

Start a Free Trial Using Tickeron’s Pattern Search Engine

If you’ve never seen algorithms and AI that can discover patterns in the cryptocurrency and stock market before, perhaps it’s because it has never been available to retail investors in this format. Tickeron’s idea is to provide retail investors with technology and tools to enable trading with massive amounts of data and analysis. The end result is arming retail investors with a high-powered, virtual research assistant: Tickeron’s Artificial Intelligence.

Start your free trial here: Pattern Search Engine

To note: the information in this post does not constitute investment advice, and Tickeron has no recommendation for Bitcoin or any other cryptocurrency. Investing in cryptocurrencies involves risk of total loss.

Related Ticker: BTC.X

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Allana's AvatarAllana|Expert

Financial analyst and market blogger with expertise in equity research, fundamental analysis, and macroeconomic trends. I regularly publish coverage on individual stocks, ETFs, and sector developments — combining rigorous financial analysis with clear, engaging writing for a broad investment audience.


BTC.X's Stochastic Oscillator sits in oversold zone for 3 days

The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an uptrend is expected.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a +2.64% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BTC.X advanced for three days, in 123 of 424 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 29%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for BTC.X moved out of overbought territory on October 05, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 16 of the 43 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 37%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on BTC.X as a result. In 42 of 144 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 29%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for BTC.X turned negative on September 29, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 65 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 14 of the 65 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 22%.

BTC.X moved below its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for BTC.X crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 25, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 7 of 22 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 32%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BTC.X declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 30%.

BTC.X broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 21, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for BTC.X entered a downward trend on October 27, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the group is 1.62T. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.62T to 1.62T. BTC.X holds the highest valuation in this group at 1.62T. The lowest valued company is BTC.X at 1.62T.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the group was -3%. For the same group, the average monthly price growth was -4%, and the average quarterly price growth was 6%. BTC.X experienced the highest price growth at -3%, while BTC.X experienced the biggest fall at -3%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the group was -16%. For the same stocks of the group, the average monthly volume growth was 17% and the average quarterly volume growth was -23%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating:
P/E Growth Rating:
Price Growth Rating:
SMR Rating:
Profit Risk Rating:
Seasonality Score: (-100 ... +100)
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