How Artificial Intelligence Predicted the Bitcoin Crash
On January 17, Tickeron’s Artificial Intelligence (Pattern Search Engine) confirmed a “Broadening Bottom Pattern” for Bitcoin. The AI made a prediction was bold and difficult to believe, given Bitcoin’s powerful rise over the last year.
Tickeron’s Artificial Intelligence was predicting a -40.53% crash.
At the time of the prediction, Bitcoin (BTC.X) was trading at a little over $11,000, but according to the AI’s forecast, it believed with 88.78% confidence that the price was set to plunge below $6,000.
What happened next is astonishing:
● BTC.X ‘breakout price’ set by AI on January 17: $11,491 (reached on January 18)
● BTC.X price on February 5: $6,914
On a price basis, that marks a 39% decline, meaning the AI’s forecast was remarkably close to being on target. To note, the AI never makes any predictions with certainty, but calling for this Bitcoin crash is a significant indicator of the AI’s potential.
Here’s how the prediction was displayed at the time of inception. You can see the breakout price, target price, and an image of the “Broadening Bottom Pattern” in the chart:
For investors who are new to pattern trading, a Broadening Bottom pattern forms when a security’s price progressively makes higher highs (2 and 4 in the Bitcoin chart) and lower lows (1, 3, 5), creating two widening trend lines. The price is expected to move up or down past the pattern depending on which line is broken first — in this case, the lower boundary.
For investors who are subscribed to Tickeron’s AI-powered Pattern Search Engine and received an alert of this Broadening Bottom pattern for Bitcoin, there could have been a few trading options. One option might have been to sell Bitcoin and buy it back at a lower price — assuming the trader believed the declines would be significant but also temporary. Another possibility would have been to purchase a put option on Bitcoin at the time of the AI’s prediction when the price was still high.
Start a Free Trial Using Tickeron’s Pattern Search Engine
If you’ve never seen algorithms and AI that can discover patterns in the cryptocurrency and stock market before, perhaps it’s because it has never been available to retail investors in this format. Tickeron’s idea is to provide retail investors with technology and tools to enable trading with massive amounts of data and analysis. The end result is arming retail investors with a high-powered, virtual research assistant: Tickeron’s Artificial Intelligence.
Start your free trial here: Pattern Search Engine
To note: the information in this post does not constitute investment advice, and Tickeron has no recommendation for Bitcoin or any other cryptocurrency. Investing in cryptocurrencies involves risk of total loss.
Contributor
Financial analyst and market blogger with expertise in equity research, fundamental analysis, and macroeconomic trends. I regularly publish coverage on individual stocks, ETFs, and sector developments — combining rigorous financial analysis with clear, engaging writing for a broad investment audience.
BTC.X in downward trend: price may decline as a result of having broken its higher Bollinger Band on September 03, 2026
BTC.X broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 03, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 61 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In 19 of the 61 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at 31%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for BTC.X moved out of overbought territory on September 04, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 10 of the 43 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 23%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 10, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on BTC.X as a result. In 40 of 143 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 28%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for BTC.X turned negative on September 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 66 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 19 of the 66 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 29%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BTC.X declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 30%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
BTC.X moved above its 50-day moving average on August 17, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for BTC.X crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on August 19, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 4 of 22 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 18%.
The 50-day moving average for BTC.X moved above the 200-day moving average on September 08, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a +0.92% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BTC.X advanced for three days, in 128 of 424 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 30%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 146 of 397 cases where BTC.X Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 37%.
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