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published in Blogs
Mar 04, 2021

How Much Money Will You Actually Spend in Retirement?

Planning for retirement can be daunting. After all, there are myriad variables to consider – the kind of post-work lifestyle you would like to maintain, the cost of living where you retire to, ongoing inflation, whether you will be collecting Social Security (and, if so, how much), among others – that are not only difficult to calculate, but difficult to even estimate accurately.

In a Wall Street Journal report, two Duke University professors – of behavioral economics and behavioral science – organized a study where they invited “hundreds of people – of different age groups, income levels, and professions – to [their] research lab and asked them how much of their salary they thought they would need in retirement.” Most participants pegged the amount at 70%, but not because they sat down to parse the numbers, but “because they recalled hearing it at some point...and they simply regurgitated it on demand.”

To calculate an actual (not perceived) figure, the professors, Dan Ariely and Aline Holzwarth, “took another group of participants, and asked them specific questions about how they wanted to spend their time in retirement,” then used the data to “[attach] reasonable numbers to their preferences and computed what percentage of their salary they would actually need to support the kind of lifestyle they imagined.” The actual percentage – 130% – almost doubled the conventional wisdom. While initially surprising, the figure makes sense: besides generating income, work is “a very cheap activity” by virtue of employer-covered expenses, like food and drink. Retirement, however, is perpetual free time – and countless opportunities to spend money that would not have been spent while in the workforce.

Ariely and Holzwarth then partnered with fintech company MoneyComb to devise a better way to determine retirement spending. They came up with “seven spending categories: eating out, digital services, recharge, travel, entertainment and shopping, and basic needs” to guide the process, then recommended “[imagining] that every day was the weekend” when estimating spending in each. As a baseline, they suggest visualizing a year in retirement spent “[living]…in the best way you can imagine” – making sure to clarify this “doesn’t necessarily mean ‘more expensive.’” Once each category is calculated and totaled, the number can be multiplied by years of expected retirement – usually around 20 – to determine a savings goal.

By examining each category realistically, future retirees can develop a true picture of their ideal post-retirement life, then develop a roadmap to make it happen. Whether this necessitates lifestyle adjustments in the present, a recalibration of idealized expectations, or a rejiggering of an investment portfolio, thinking about retirement in this way can make that retirement goal obtainable rather than a future casualty of poor planning.

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Related Ticker: SPY

SPY's RSI Indicator leaves overbought zone

The 10-day RSI Oscillator for SPY moved out of overbought territory on February 13, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In of the 46 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SPY declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

SPY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on February 22, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SPY just turned positive on February 23, 2024. Looking at past instances where SPY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SPY advanced for three days, in of 357 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 447 cases where SPY Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA), Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN), Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG), Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL), Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META), Eli Lilly & Co (NYSE:LLY), Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), Broadcom (NASDAQ:AVGO).

Industry description

The investment seeks to provide investment results that, before expenses, correspond generally to the price and yield performance of the S&P 500® Index. The Trust seeks to achieve its investment objective by holding a portfolio of the common stocks that are included in the index (the “Portfolio”), with the weight of each stock in the Portfolio substantially corresponding to the weight of such stock in the index.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the SPDR® S&P 500 ETF Trust ETF is 113.08B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 5.64B to 3.03T. MSFT holds the highest valuation in this group at 3.03T. The lowest valued company is ZION at 5.64B.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the SPDR® S&P 500 ETF Trust ETF was 2%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was 3%, and the average quarterly price growth was 13%. CEG experienced the highest price growth at 30%, while PODD experienced the biggest fall at -15%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the SPDR® S&P 500 ETF Trust ETF was -58%. For the same stocks of the ETF, the average monthly volume growth was -59% and the average quarterly volume growth was -54%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 60
P/E Growth Rating: 51
Price Growth Rating: 48
SMR Rating: 51
Profit Risk Rating: 46
Seasonality Score: -46 (-100 ... +100)
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SPYDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

Category LargeBlend

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Category
Large Blend
Address
PDR Services, 86 Trinity PlaceNew York
Phone
N/A
Web
www.spdrs.com
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SPY and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SPY has been closely correlated with IVV. These tickers have moved in lockstep 100% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SPY jumps, then IVV could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
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6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
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To SPY
1D Price
Change %
SPY100%
-0.15%
IVV - SPY
100%
Closely correlated
-0.12%
SPLG - SPY
100%
Closely correlated
-0.17%
SCHX - SPY
100%
Closely correlated
-0.15%
ESGU - SPY
100%
Closely correlated
-0.14%
VOO - SPY
100%
Closely correlated
-0.15%
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