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Oct 10, 2019
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HP (HPQ, $16.03) gets rating downgrade and price target cut from Goldman Sachs

HP (HPQ, $16.03) gets rating downgrade and price target cut from Goldman Sachs

HP Inc. shares traded lower Thursday, following downgrade from  Goldman Sachs analysts who also lowered their price target on the stock.

Goldman Sachs analyst Rod Hall lowered his rating  to "sell" from "neutral on the PC and printer maker’s shares. Hall slashed price target on the stock by $4 to $14 per share.

 Hall feels that HP faces a "difficult transition" in its printers business, which the company announced last week. Softness in global consumer PC markets is another factor that he cited, alongwith his expectation that strength in business demand would cool off in the second half of next year. 

Last week, HP revealed plans to retrench nearly a fifth of its workforce in a cost-cutting effort that it expects will result in around $1 billion savings over the next two years. It will eliminate between 7,000 and 9,000 jobs from its global workforce of 55,000, while taking a fourth quarter charge of around $100 million to compensate for the costs.

 

 

Related Ticker: HPQ

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


HPQ in downward trend: price may decline as a result of having broken its higher Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026

HPQ broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In 37 of the 44 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at 84%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 30, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on HPQ as a result. In 62 of 95 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for HPQ turned negative on October 30, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 32 of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 73%.

HPQ moved below its 50-day moving average on October 30, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for HPQ crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 03, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 12 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where HPQ declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 60%.

The Aroon Indicator for HPQ entered a downward trend on October 21, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

Following a +8.17% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where HPQ advanced for three days, in 200 of 309 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 2 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: HPQ's P/B Ratio (-278.967) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (-6.197). P/E Ratio (10.780) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-3.670). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.344) is also within normal values, averaging (23.994). HPQ has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.042) as compared to the industry average of (0.012). P/S Ratio (0.515) is also within normal values, averaging (51.774).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 24 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 48 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. HPQ’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 75 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. HPQ’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock better than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Arista Networks Inc (NYSE:ANET), Dell Technologies (NYSE:DELL), Seagate Technology Holdings PLC (NASDAQ:STX), Western Digital Corp (NASDAQ:WDC), HP (NYSE:HPQ), 3D Systems Corp (NYSE:DDD).

Industry description

Computer Processing Hardware industry produces central processing unit, monitor, keyboard, computer data storage devices, and graphics card. Business activity and economic growth are potential drivers of this industry – if more businesses are growing or flourishing, so would their investments in computer equipment. Dell Technologies, Inc, Hewlett Packard Enterprise Co., NCR Corporation are key producers of computer processing hardware.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Computer Processing Hardware Industry is 20.25B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from -0.18 to 215.42B. ANET holds the highest valuation in this group at 215.42B. The lowest valued company is HAUP at -0.18.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Computer Processing Hardware Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -21%, and the average quarterly price growth was -15%. CRCT experienced the highest price growth at 45%, while AMCI experienced the biggest fall at -49%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Computer Processing Hardware Industry was -5%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 16% and the average quarterly volume growth was -56%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 42
P/E Growth Rating: 51
Price Growth Rating: 69
SMR Rating: 80
Profit Risk Rating: 90
Seasonality Score: -14 (-100 ... +100)
Related Portfolios: Computer Stocks
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General Information

a developer of imaging and printing systems, computing systems and information technology solutions

Industry ComputerProcessingHardware

Industry
Computer Processing Hardware
Address
1501 Page Mill Road
Phone
+1 650 857-1501
Employees
55000
Web
https://www.hp.com
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