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published in Blogs
Jul 20, 2023

HZO's Swing Trader Performance: 8.1% Gain Leveraging Valuation & Efficiency Models

Swing Trader, Long Only: HZO Valuation & Efficiency Model (TA&FA) Generates 8.1% Return as Technical Analysis Bolsters Bullish Outlook

The use of Technical Analysis (TA) and Fundamental Analysis (FA) in the stock market is as old as the market itself. These methodologies have been employed by investors and traders for decades, if not centuries, in various forms. It comes as no surprise that these tried and true strategies are generating significant returns for HZO, a renowned stock that has seen an 8.1% yield in its Valuation & Efficiency Model.

HZO's performance is particularly striking considering its 50-day moving average recently crossed bullishly above its 200-day moving average, a significant event that took place on July 13, 2023. This bullish cross, often referred to as a 'Golden Cross,' is typically seen as a strong bullish signal in the world of technical analysis.

Such an event suggests that HZO's shorter-term momentum has been building up and has become strong enough to surpass its longer-term trend, often taken as a positive sign by traders and investors. This upward momentum could propel the stock toward an increasingly bullish market position.

This 'Golden Cross' is seen as particularly promising for HZO. The stock market sees such a crossover as a long-term bullish signal, typically leading to increased investor confidence and potentially higher trading volumes. Traders using the Swing Trader approach, who aim to capture gains in a stock within an overnight hold to several weeks, may find this especially beneficial.

The approach combines the principles of both Technical and Fundamental Analysis (TA&FA), thereby offering a comprehensive evaluation of the stock's value. The swing trading strategy usually allows traders to take advantage of short-term price momentum, often driven by investor sentiment and market news, while also considering the underlying business's long-term financial health.

The bullish crossover event, coupled with a strong yield in its Valuation & Efficiency Model, indicates that HZO's stock is on a potential upswing. It's clear that HZO's financial health and performance metrics are aligning, marking it a potentially profitable choice for those using a Swing Trader, Long Only approach.

With an 8.1% return on HZO's Valuation & Efficiency Model (TA&FA), it's evident that this method's mix of technical and fundamental analyses provides a robust framework for navigating the market and potentially capitalizing on HZO's promising trends.

HZO's recent performance underscores the effectiveness of a combined TA&FA approach, especially when applied in a Swing Trader, Long Only context. The bullish 'Golden Cross' and impressive return on HZO's Valuation & Efficiency Model underline the potential profitability of this method and signify a promising path forward for HZO. As the stock continues on its upward trend, it is set to remain a compelling option for investors.

Related Ticker: HZO

HZO's Stochastic Oscillator stoops into oversold zone

The Stochastic Oscillator for HZO moved into oversold territory on October 23, 2024. Be on the watch for the price uptrend or consolidation in the future. At that time, consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where HZO advanced for three days, in of 317 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

HZO may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for HZO moved out of overbought territory on September 25, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 42 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 23, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on HZO as a result. In of 96 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for HZO turned negative on October 01, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 42 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

HZO moved below its 50-day moving average on October 17, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for HZO crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 11, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where HZO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for HZO entered a downward trend on October 21, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.798) is normal, around the industry mean (12.064). P/E Ratio (8.239) is within average values for comparable stocks, (36.044). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.650). HZO has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.034). P/S Ratio (0.310) is also within normal values, averaging (18.679).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. HZO’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. HZO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 74, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Home Depot (null:HD), Lowe's Companies (null:LOW), AutoZone (null:AZO), Tractor Supply Company (null:TSCO), Ulta Beauty (null:ULTA), Best Buy Company (null:BBY), Bath & Body Works (null:BBWI), Five Below (null:FIVE), RH (null:RH), Advance Auto Parts (null:AAP).

Industry description

The specialty stores sector includes companies dedicated to the sale of retail products focused on a single product category, such as clothing, carpet, books, or office supplies. A specialty store could face intense competition from big-box departmental chains, and therefore offering an adequate collection of the product type it specializes in is key in maintaining/growing its market.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Specialty Stores Industry is 8.67B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 4.65K to 380.15B. HD holds the highest valuation in this group at 380.15B. The lowest valued company is SIMPQ at 4.65K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Specialty Stores Industry was -0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 10%, and the average quarterly price growth was 7%. SPEV experienced the highest price growth at 39%, while KXIN experienced the biggest fall at -33%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Specialty Stores Industry was 4%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -58% and the average quarterly volume growth was 21%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 46
P/E Growth Rating: 55
Price Growth Rating: 54
SMR Rating: 69
Profit Risk Rating: 74
Seasonality Score: 33 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a retailer of new and used recreational boats

Industry SpecialtyStores

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Specialty Stores
Address
2600 McCormick Drive
Phone
+1 727 531-1700
Employees
3928
Web
https://www.marinemax.com
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