IBM (IBM, $132.72) Surges after Reporting Estimate-Beating Q4 Results
Shares of IBM surged nearly 5% after the company reported Q4 results that beat EPS and revenue estimates, even though revenue was down 3.5% on a y-o-y basis.
Q4's adjusted earnings for IBM stood at $4.87, beating EPS estimates by 3 cents. Sales for the quarter stood at $21.76 billion, approximately $10 million above the consensus estimates.
IBM also issued strong FY2019 earnings guidance and is optimistic it can produce free cash flow of approximately $12 billion, as the Red Hat acquisition is expected to close in the second half of 2019 and full-year guidance will provide more precision to last month's sale of certain software products to HCL Technologies.
Ginni Rometty, IBM Chairman, President and CEO explained that a growing demand for IBM’s services and leadership solutions in hybrid cloud, AI, analytics and security led to the full-year revenue growth. In fact, major clients worldwide, such as BNP Paribas, are now pinning their hopes on IBM as the latter can offer unmatched industry experience that could uplift their business based on innovation.
Cognitive Solutions business reported revenues of $5.46 billion after +2% y-o-y growth (in constant currency) and Global Business Services recorded revenues of $4.32 billion after sustaining a +6% y-o-y growth. But the shinning stars in IBM’s revenue mix were the Cloud business and Strategic Imperatives business, which recorded impressive 12% and 9% y-o-y growth. Strategic imperatives (cloud and data analysis among others) reported revenue of $39.8 billion for 2018.
Momentum Indicator for IBM turns positive, indicating new upward trend
IBM saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on August 19, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 78 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 78 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where IBM's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 28 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for IBM just turned positive on July 31, 2026. Looking at past instances where IBM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 37 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where IBM advanced for three days, in of 372 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 263 cases where IBM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 55 cases where IBM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The 10-day moving average for IBM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on July 20, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where IBM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.443) is normal, around the industry mean (7.110). P/E Ratio (20.931) is within average values for comparable stocks, (70.841). IBM's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.408) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.226). Dividend Yield (0.029) settles around the average of (0.025) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.246) is also within normal values, averaging (147.745).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 93, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. IBM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
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General Information
a manufacturer of various computer products through the use of advanced information technology
Industry InformationTechnologyServices
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