IBM (IBM, $133.52) misses Q3 revenue expectation

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

IBM moved above its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for IBM crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 9 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.

Following a +1.55% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where IBM advanced for three days, in 249 of 375 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 166 of 271 cases where IBM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 61%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for IBM moved out of overbought territory on November 02, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 29 of the 48 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 60%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 05, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on IBM as a result. In 44 of 81 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 54%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for IBM turned negative on November 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 38 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 26 of the 38 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 68%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where IBM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 53%.

IBM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 20, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 29 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 40 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 93, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. IBM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 76 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.700) is normal, around the industry mean (2.898). P/E Ratio (21.379) is within average values for comparable stocks, (18.492). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.087) is also within normal values, averaging (2.284). Dividend Yield (0.028) settles around the average of (0.224) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.271) is also within normal values, averaging (139.965).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 87 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.