On Thursday, IBM announced an agreement reached with India’s HCL Technologies Ltd. to sell them select IBM software assets for $1.8 billion, in line with Big Blue’s strategy to focus more on cloud computing.
Representing a total addressable market of more than $50 billion, the software assets in scope include products like Appscan for secure application development, BigFix for secure device management, Unica (on-premise) for marketing automation, Commerce (on-premise) for omni-channel eCommerce, Portal (on-premise) for digital experience, Notes & Domino for email and low-code rapid application development, and Connections for work stream collaboration.
Although the deal is expected to close by mid-2019, an existing licensing partnership between the two companies will continue for five of the products.
IBM has been striving to emerge as a leader in the hybrid cloud market for some time now, but its declining software sales weighed heavy on its latest quarterly revenue – which might have instigated IBM to go for this deal.
HCL, whose revenue from software services business rose about 21% in the second-quarter, plans to further strengthen its position in the software services market after this acquisition.
Payable entirely in cash including earn-out, HCL plans to fund this deal mostly through internal accruals but may also include debt worth $300 million. The deal also marks the largest ever acquisition by any Indian IT company and is expected to give HCL access to a clientele of more than 5,000 customers.
IBM moved below its 50-day moving average on September 24, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 21 of 30 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.
The 10-day moving average for IBM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 29, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 7 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where IBM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 55%.
IBM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 11, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 38 of 57 cases where IBM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 09, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on IBM as a result. In 53 of 82 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for IBM just turned positive on October 09, 2026. Looking at past instances where IBM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 26 of 37 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
Following a +3.00% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where IBM advanced for three days, in 248 of 376 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 172 of 264 cases where IBM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 65%.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 9 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.035) is normal, around the industry mean (7.552). P/E Ratio (19.598) is within average values for comparable stocks, (68.701). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.087) is also within normal values, averaging (2.284). IBM has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.031) as compared to the industry average of (0.010). P/S Ratio (3.271) is also within normal values, averaging (143.599).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 29 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 48 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 93, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 61 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. IBM’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 95 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a manufacturer of various computer products through the use of advanced information technology
Industry InformationTechnologyServices