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Jan 03, 2020
Incyte's (INCY, $85.97) clinical trial disappoints

Incyte's (INCY, $85.97) clinical trial disappoints

Incyte Corporation shares took a hit late trading Thursday, after news of disappointing results on one of its clinical trials.

The pharmaceutical  company revealed that one of its drugs fell short of meeting its primary endpoint in a phase 3 trial. According Incyte’s statement, its  JAK1 inhibitor  itacitinib in combination with corticosteroids, “did not statistically improve overall response rate or non-relapse mortality” in patients with acute graft-versus-host disease. That is, it did not meet the primary endpoint of a statistically significant improvement in overall response rate (ORR) at Day 28 compared to placebo plus corticosteroids; also, no difference was found in non-relapse mortality at month 6, which is a crucial secondary endpoint.

The above-mentioned disease is often seen in patients undergoing bone marrow or organ transplants. Results of the trial will be submitted at a future medical conference.

Incyte shares were down around -10% after hours.

Related Ticker: INCY

INCY in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on June 03, 2026

INCY moved above its 50-day moving average on June 03, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In of 43 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where INCY's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 41 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on June 03, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on INCY as a result. In of 99 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for INCY just turned positive on June 04, 2026. Looking at past instances where INCY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 36 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where INCY advanced for three days, in of 325 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 229 cases where INCY Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where INCY declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

INCY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. INCY’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.638) is normal, around the industry mean (19.817). P/E Ratio (14.460) is within average values for comparable stocks, (36.300). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.359) is also within normal values, averaging (1.691). INCY has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.039). P/S Ratio (3.874) is also within normal values, averaging (355.038).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:REGN), Incyte Corp (NASDAQ:INCY), Moderna (NASDAQ:MRNA), Exelixis (NASDAQ:EXEL), Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:ARWR), Nektar Therapeutics (NASDAQ:NKTR), Sarepta Therapeutics (NASDAQ:SRPT), Novavax (NASDAQ:NVAX), Inovio Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:INO), Cel-Sci Corp (ASE:CVM).

Industry description

Biotechnology involves genetic or protein engineering to produce medicines/therapies for treating and preventing ailments. The industry also provides crucial ingredients for diagnostics. This multi-billion-dollar industry is heavily focused on research and development, as companies attempt to continually come up with cutting-edge solutions for health. New discoveries for the treatment of diseases provide opportunities for growth for a company in this industry. Discoveries, however, must pass the regulatory approval from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) before they can make it to markets. Amgen Inc., Gilead Sciences, Inc. and Celgene Corporation are examples of companies in this industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Biotechnology Industry is 1.86B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 58 to 113.41B. VRTX holds the highest valuation in this group at 113.41B. The lowest valued company is SEELQ at 58.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Biotechnology Industry was -8%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -8%, and the average quarterly price growth was -2%. INDP experienced the highest price growth at 108%, while ADCT experienced the biggest fall at -70%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Biotechnology Industry was 3%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 26% and the average quarterly volume growth was 100%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 50
P/E Growth Rating: 81
Price Growth Rating: 60
SMR Rating: 94
Profit Risk Rating: 93
Seasonality Score: 14 (-100 ... +100)
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a developer of drugs

Industry Biotechnology

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Industry
Biotechnology
Address
1801 Augustine Cut-Off
Phone
+1 302 498-6700
Employees
2844
Web
https://www.incyte.com
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