Incyte's (INCY, $85.97) clinical trial disappoints
Incyte Corporation shares took a hit late trading Thursday, after news of disappointing results on one of its clinical trials.
The pharmaceutical company revealed that one of its drugs fell short of meeting its primary endpoint in a phase 3 trial. According Incyte’s statement, its JAK1 inhibitor itacitinib in combination with corticosteroids, “did not statistically improve overall response rate or non-relapse mortality” in patients with acute graft-versus-host disease. That is, it did not meet the primary endpoint of a statistically significant improvement in overall response rate (ORR) at Day 28 compared to placebo plus corticosteroids; also, no difference was found in non-relapse mortality at month 6, which is a crucial secondary endpoint.
The above-mentioned disease is often seen in patients undergoing bone marrow or organ transplants. Results of the trial will be submitted at a future medical conference.
Incyte shares were down around -10% after hours.
INCY sees its Stochastic Oscillator recovers from oversold territory
On December 24, 2024, the Stochastic Oscillator for INCY moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 63 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In of the 63 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where INCY advanced for three days, in of 286 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
INCY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 192 cases where INCY Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on December 10, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on INCY as a result. In of 102 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
INCY moved below its 50-day moving average on December 12, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for INCY crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on December 18, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where INCY declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. INCY’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.246) is normal, around the industry mean (14.514). INCY has a moderately high P/E Ratio (776.778) as compared to the industry average of (87.498). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.613) is also within normal values, averaging (1.756). INCY has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.013). P/S Ratio (3.695) is also within normal values, averaging (260.038).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. INCY’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a developer of drugs
Industry Biotechnology