Emerging market indices have had a rough go of it over the last year. India’s market has actually held up better than most other emerging markets since the beginning of the year. That being said, there is a technical pattern in the iShares MSCI India ETF (Amex: INDA) that suggests that India’s index might be turning lower again.
If we look at the daily chart we see that the fund dipped down to the $32.50 level in May and in June, but bounced each time. The fund then broke below the support level in late September/early October. It dropped all the way down to the $29 area before rallying over the last few weeks.
It is rather common for former support levels to become resistance points after a stock or ETF falls below them. How and why does this happen?
The thought process behind why this seems to happen goes something like this. An investor holds the investment as it falls from the August high down to the $32.50 level and thinks the support will hold once again. When it breaks below that support and goes all the way down to $29, they are kicking themselves for not selling when the support broke. Now they see the price back up at the $32.50 level and don’t want to miss the opportunity to sell at that level again and so they act.
We see this phenomenon quite often and it works the other way as well—former resistance levels become support levels after stocks or funds break above them and then dip back down to them.
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Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where INDA advanced for three days, in 250 of 321 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where INDA's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 25 of 35 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 30, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on INDA as a result. In 58 of 76 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for INDA just turned positive on October 13, 2026. Looking at past instances where INDA's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 34 of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
INDA moved above its 50-day moving average on November 02, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where INDA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.
INDA broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for INDA entered a downward trend on October 19, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Category WorldStock