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Mar 18, 2019
India's central bank to use $5 billion dollar-rupee swap for boosting liquidity

India's central bank to use $5 billion dollar-rupee swap for boosting liquidity

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) recently revealed a relatively unconventional tool to inject liquidity into the Indian economy.  

The central bank of India would buy $5 billion from the nation's banks, and pay them in Indian rupees. As part of the USD-rupee buy-sell swap auction, the banks will buy the dollars back from the RBI after three years.  Through this foreign-exchange swap, the RBI apparently hopes to boost the economy, as the additional funds supplied in local currency would allow banks to have more cash at their disposal to lend and/or invest with.

The move is expected to also curb the Indian rupee’s appreciation. A strong rupee is a potential headwind to India’s exports.

RBI has scheduled the dollar-rupee buy-sell swap auction to take place on March 26.

 

 

Related Ticker: INDA

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


INDA in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on September 08, 2026

INDA moved below its 50-day moving average on September 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 40 of 49 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 82%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 08, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on INDA as a result. In 55 of 75 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 73%.

The 10-day moving average for INDA crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 11, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 12 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where INDA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.

The Aroon Indicator for INDA entered a downward trend on October 05, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where INDA's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 26 of 35 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 5 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +0.45% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where INDA advanced for three days, in 252 of 325 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.

INDA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Industry description

The investment seeks to track the investment results of the MSCI India Index composed of Indian equities. The fund generally will collectively invest at least 80% of the fund's assets in the component securities of the underlying index and in investments that have economic characteristics that are substantially identical to the component securities of the underlying index. The index measures the performance of equity securities of companies whose market capitalization, as calculated by the index provider, represents the large- and mid-capitalization segments of the Indian securities market. The fund is non-diversified.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the iShares MSCI India ETF (INDA) ETF was -1%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was -7%, and the average quarterly price growth was -5%. USD experienced the highest price growth at 9%, while INR experienced the biggest fall at 5%.
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