Indian Giant on the Brink of Meltdown
One of India’s largest financial institutions, Infrastructure Lending and Financial Services, which has helped to fuel the growth of the world’s fastest-growing economy over the past 30 years. But now it threatens to, has now helped to bring India to the brink of crisis.
The company is considered systematically important to the health of the economy, since some of its largest stakeholders include the Central Bank of India, the State Bank of India (NSE: SBIN), the largest mortgage lender in India (NSE: HDBFC), and the largest life insurance company in India, which is state-owned.
IL&FS owns or is affiliated with between 170 and 256 smaller companies, depending on the criteria by which they are categorized, and this has made the current crisis difficult to foresee. Its figurehead resigned for health reasons in July, and it began defaulting on its debts in August, the effects of which have taken until mid-September to become apparent.
The BSE SENSEX and the Nifty 50 (NSE: NIFTY) indices have plunged from highs in August, and many brows have been knitted in anticipation of a solution. The IL&FS crisis is only the icing on the cake, really, in the broader context of a nationwide pandemic of bad debt that has caused Reserve Bank of India to force corrective framework on 11 of the 21 government-owned banks in recent months, as well as a falling Rupee (INR:USD).
IFN sees its 50-day moving average cross bullishly above its 200-day moving average
The 50-day moving average for IFN moved above the 200-day moving average on October 24, 2025. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where IFN's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 37 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 22, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on IFN as a result. In of 83 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for IFN just turned positive on October 06, 2025. Looking at past instances where IFN's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
IFN moved above its 50-day moving average on October 16, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for IFN crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 22, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where IFN advanced for three days, in of 345 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 5 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where IFN declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
IFN broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 17, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for IFN entered a downward trend on October 15, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Industry description
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