Indian Giant on the Brink of Meltdown
One of India’s largest financial institutions, Infrastructure Lending and Financial Services, which has helped to fuel the growth of the world’s fastest-growing economy over the past 30 years. But now it threatens to, has now helped to bring India to the brink of crisis.
The company is considered systematically important to the health of the economy, since some of its largest stakeholders include the Central Bank of India, the State Bank of India (NSE: SBIN), the largest mortgage lender in India (NSE: HDBFC), and the largest life insurance company in India, which is state-owned.
IL&FS owns or is affiliated with between 170 and 256 smaller companies, depending on the criteria by which they are categorized, and this has made the current crisis difficult to foresee. Its figurehead resigned for health reasons in July, and it began defaulting on its debts in August, the effects of which have taken until mid-September to become apparent.
The BSE SENSEX and the Nifty 50 (NSE: NIFTY) indices have plunged from highs in August, and many brows have been knitted in anticipation of a solution. The IL&FS crisis is only the icing on the cake, really, in the broader context of a nationwide pandemic of bad debt that has caused Reserve Bank of India to force corrective framework on 11 of the 21 government-owned banks in recent months, as well as a falling Rupee (INR:USD).
IFN's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for IFN turned positive on June 27, 2025. Looking at past instances where IFN's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on June 26, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on IFN as a result. In of 83 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The 50-day moving average for IFN moved above the 200-day moving average on June 18, 2025. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where IFN advanced for three days, in of 357 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
IFN may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 274 cases where IFN Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 4 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where IFN declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
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