Indian Giant on the Brink of Meltdown
One of India’s largest financial institutions, Infrastructure Lending and Financial Services, which has helped to fuel the growth of the world’s fastest-growing economy over the past 30 years. But now it threatens to, has now helped to bring India to the brink of crisis.
The company is considered systematically important to the health of the economy, since some of its largest stakeholders include the Central Bank of India, the State Bank of India (NSE: SBIN), the largest mortgage lender in India (NSE: HDBFC), and the largest life insurance company in India, which is state-owned.
IL&FS owns or is affiliated with between 170 and 256 smaller companies, depending on the criteria by which they are categorized, and this has made the current crisis difficult to foresee. Its figurehead resigned for health reasons in July, and it began defaulting on its debts in August, the effects of which have taken until mid-September to become apparent.
The BSE SENSEX and the Nifty 50 (NSE: NIFTY) indices have plunged from highs in August, and many brows have been knitted in anticipation of a solution. The IL&FS crisis is only the icing on the cake, really, in the broader context of a nationwide pandemic of bad debt that has caused Reserve Bank of India to force corrective framework on 11 of the 21 government-owned banks in recent months, as well as a falling Rupee (INR:USD).
IFN in downward trend: 10-day moving average broke below 50-day moving average on July 17, 2025
The 10-day moving average for IFN crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on July 17, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on July 09, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on IFN as a result. In of 84 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for IFN turned negative on July 08, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
IFN moved below its 50-day moving average on July 10, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where IFN declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 5 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
The 50-day moving average for IFN moved above the 200-day moving average on June 18, 2025. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where IFN advanced for three days, in of 354 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 267 cases where IFN Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
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