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published in Blogs
Dec 10, 2021

Inflation could rise even further in November, economists predict

Following a three-decade high of 6.2% in October, US annual inflation could rise even further in November.

Ahead of the data to come out on Friday, some economists predict that inflation will be 6.8% in November. The prediction comes amid supply chain disruptions and demand following re-opening.

"Essentially, the pandemic made it harder for the world to produce stuff and move it around," Reade Pickert and Matthew Boesler wrote for Bloomberg.

"The government shored up incomes in the crisis like never before, so households remained eager to spend. And a combination of lockdowns and Covid caution meant their purchasing power was focused on consumer goods instead of services."

Related Ticker: GOVT

GOVT's Indicator enters downward trend

The Aroon Indicator for GOVT entered a downward trend on March 01, 2024. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 227 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 227 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for GOVT moved out of overbought territory on February 02, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 28 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 28 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

GOVT moved below its 50-day moving average on February 08, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for GOVT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on February 13, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 11 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GOVT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

GOVT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on March 01, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on February 28, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on GOVT as a result. In of 90 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for GOVT just turned positive on February 29, 2024. Looking at past instances where GOVT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 53 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GOVT advanced for three days, in of 284 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

Industry description

The investment seeks to track the investment results of the ICE U.S. Treasury Core Bond Index (the "underlying index"). The fund will invest at least 80% of its assets in the component securities of the underlying index and will invest at least 90% of its assets in U.S. Treasury securities that BFA believes will help the fund track the underlying index. The underlying index includes publicly-issued U.S. Treasury securities that have a remaining maturity greater than one year and less than or equal to thirty years and have $300 million or more of outstanding face value.
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

Category IntermediateGovernment

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Category
Intermediate Government
Address
iShares Trust400 Howard StreetSan Francisco
Phone
1-800-474-2737
Web
www.ishares.com
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GOVT and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GOVT has been closely correlated with SPTI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 98% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if GOVT jumps, then SPTI could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To GOVT
1D Price
Change %
GOVT100%
+0.37%
SPTI - GOVT
98%
Closely correlated
+0.40%
SCHR - GOVT
98%
Closely correlated
+0.40%
VGIT - GOVT
98%
Closely correlated
+0.38%
XFIV - GOVT
97%
Closely correlated
+0.45%
IEI - GOVT
96%
Closely correlated
+0.36%
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