Inflation rate slows, as energy prices cool off
U.S. inflation slowed again last month, even as core consumer price index accelerated.
The headline consumer price index (CPI) in August rose +8.3% year-over-year, compared to +8.5% in July. The figure, however, exceeded the Street consensus forecast of 8.1%.
While the energy price fell -5% from the year-ago period, food price inflation came in at +11.4% y/y (the fastest pace since April 1979).
The core inflation gauge, which excludes volatile components such as food and energy prices, climbed +6.3% year-over-year, beating the Street forecasts.
GOVT sees MACD Histogram just turned negative
GOVT saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on July 07, 2025. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 59 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 59 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for GOVT moved out of overbought territory on July 01, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 25 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 25 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on July 08, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on GOVT as a result. In of 92 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GOVT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
GOVT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 24, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
GOVT moved above its 50-day moving average on June 17, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for GOVT crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on June 17, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 11 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GOVT advanced for three days, in of 278 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 179 cases where GOVT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Industry description
Advertisement
General Information
Category IntermediateGovernment
Advertisement