GET DAILY SIGNALSInflation rate slows, as energy prices cool off
U.S. inflation slowed again last month, even as core consumer price index accelerated.
The headline consumer price index (CPI) in August rose +8.3% year-over-year, compared to +8.5% in July. The figure, however, exceeded the Street consensus forecast of 8.1%.
While the energy price fell -5% from the year-ago period, food price inflation came in at +11.4% y/y (the fastest pace since April 1979).
The core inflation gauge, which excludes volatile components such as food and energy prices, climbed +6.3% year-over-year, beating the Street forecasts.
GOVT in upward trend: 10-day moving average broke above 50-day moving average on October 27, 2026
The 10-day moving average for GOVT crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 27, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 8 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 12, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on GOVT as a result. In 37 of 83 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 45%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for GOVT just turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where GOVT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 28 of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 55%.
GOVT moved above its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +0.72% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GOVT advanced for three days, in 126 of 288 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 44%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 104 of 213 cases where GOVT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 49%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for GOVT moved out of overbought territory on November 02, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 31 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 15 of the 31 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 48%.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 15 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GOVT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 51%.
GOVT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
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Category IntermediateGovernment
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