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Oct 22, 2018
Is Another Oil Embargo on the Table?

Is Another Oil Embargo on the Table?

Enforcing a 1973-style oil embargo is not in the cards for Saudi Arabia, confirmed by the Saudi Arabian Energy Minister Khalid al-Falih in an interview to Russia's TASS news agency. Amidst the roaring controversy surrounding the killing of Saudi journalist Jamal Khashoggi, and the impending U.S. sanctions on Iran, this comes as a big relief for the global economy.

October 1973’s oil crisis, where OPEC nations joined hands to squeeze supplies to the U.S. and Europe in retaliation for their support for Israel, resulted in the oil price quadrupling to US$12 per barrel in just a couple of months.

Khalid al-Falih also added that for decades they have adopted an oil policy which is being used as a responsible economic tool, and Saudi Arabia has no intention of using its oil wealth as a political tool.

He further emphasized on continuing the joint work between the OPEC nations and the non-OPEC nations to maintain the equilibrium of supply and demand, and gave assurance that if required, Saudi Arabia has the requisite firepower to further boost its production to 12 million barrels per day from the present high of 11 million barrels per day.

Related Ticker: XOM

XOM in +5.00% Uptrend, growing for three consecutive days on September 01, 2026

Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where XOM advanced for three days, in of 373 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 59 cases where XOM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 314 cases where XOM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for XOM moved out of overbought territory on August 24, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 43 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on August 26, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on XOM as a result. In of 90 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for XOM turned negative on August 26, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 49 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XOM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

XOM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 18, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 28, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. XOM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: XOM's P/B Ratio (2.528) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.920). P/E Ratio (20.524) is within average values for comparable stocks, (16.762). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.366) is also within normal values, averaging (1.502). Dividend Yield (0.026) settles around the average of (0.039) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.865) is also within normal values, averaging (3.467).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation (NYSE:XOM), Chevron Corp (NYSE:CVX), Petroleo Brasileiro Sa-Petrobras ADS (REP 1 Common Share) (NYSE:PBR), BP plc (NYSE:BP), Suncor Energy (NYSE:SU), YPF Sociedad Anonima (NYSE:YPF).

Industry description

Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Integrated Oil Industry is 123.03B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 39.76K to 655.73B. XOM holds the highest valuation in this group at 655.73B. The lowest valued company is PGAS at 39.76K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Integrated Oil Industry was 3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 7%, and the average quarterly price growth was 19%. PBR experienced the highest price growth at 9%, while SKYQ experienced the biggest fall at -2%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Integrated Oil Industry was 3%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -3% and the average quarterly volume growth was -34%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 39
P/E Growth Rating: 52
Price Growth Rating: 41
SMR Rating: 68
Profit Risk Rating: 27
Seasonality Score: 29 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a distributer of crude oil, natural gas and petroleum products

Industry IntegratedOil

Profile
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Industry
Integrated Oil
Address
22777 Springwoods Village Parkway
Phone
+1 972 940-6000
Employees
61500
Web
https://www.exxonmobil.com
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