The mainstream hype surrounding cryptocurrency has cooled, but reports of its demise appear to have been greatly exaggerated. After a difficult 2018, including substantial drops in value in November of that year, bitcoin has rebounded well in 2019, and while the inherent volatility of crypto is always in play, Bloomberg reported in early May that market researchers Fundstrat Global Advisors suggest investors should buy more – especially with a pullback looming.
Robert Sluymer, a technical strategist at Fundstrat, advised investors on May 2 to “use pending pullbacks to continue accumulating Bitcoin in the second quarter in anticipation of a second-half rally through ~6,000 resistance.” Sluymer characterized bitcoin’s recent trajectory as “the early stage of a longer-term recovery developing,” evidenced by a “breakout from its first-quarter trading range” and “rebound from its 200-week moving average,” said the Bloomberg report.
Bitcoin has had a good May so far, reaching as high as $8,300 on May 16. A segment of analysts believe strong performance will continue into 2020, potentially reaching a new all-time high of $20,000-plus, Fundstrat’s Tom Lee told CNBC. Lee and Fundstrat believe a variety of factors are responsible (and continue to bode well) for bitcoin’s long-term prospects, including political and economic upheaval in Venezuela and Turkey leading to increased adoption, bitcoin closing above its 200-day moving average in April, a golden cross of the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, and consensus “among ‘original’ bitcoin bulls that the bottom has been put in.”
If Lee is to be believed, bitcoin is in the midst of an ongoing growth and stabilization process. “I think you’re seeing signs that fundamentals are improving, technicals are improving, and now there’s real activity by, essentially, crypto holders,” Lee told CNBC. A recent MarketWatch report seemed to echo this opinion – while Google searches for bitcoin lagged behind their late 2017 levels, experts believe that this has more to do with bitcoin being a better-known quantity than at that time. “The recent bout of strength is not retail driven,” said Jeff Dorman, chief investment officer at crypto-focused asset management firm Arca. “There’s some big family offices, direct buying in the OTC [over-the-counter] markets and the hedge-fund space. They are certainly not Googling bitcoin.”
Bitcoin has proven its volatile nature time and time again, which means taking its recent growth with a grain of salt. But bitcoin has also shown itself to be resilient – with increasingly strong fundamentals and positive market behavior, the “bullish longer-term technical profile [that is] developing” portends for additional gains in 2019 and beyond.
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