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May 28, 2019
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Is Dominion Energy’s (D, $76.73) to lose its tag of ‘dividend growth machine’?

Is Dominion Energy’s (D, $76.73) to lose its tag of ‘dividend growth machine’?

Known for its generous dividend yield, one of the largest utility company in the United States – Dominion Energy, is all set to lose its tag of ‘dividend growth machine’ as the company plans to slow down its dividend growth to ensure it remains a great income stock.

Sitting at the top end of the spectrum in terms of dividend yield compared to its peers, the company has an impeccable record of increasing its dividend annually for 16 consecutive years. Further, dividend growth of the company over the past decade has averaged just under 8% a year, but recently it has again gone back to around 10%.

Amidst such a scenario, the company has been recently seen projecting a massive slowdown in the dividend growth rate and expects the same to hover around 2.5% in 2020, and remain at that level for at least the next few years.

So, why the sudden brake in the dividend growth?

The reason behind such a move is basically the company creating some financial breathing space for itself, as it changes gear in terms of the business model. The company has been recently seen moving its business more and more toward assets with regulated businesses or fee-based structures. Off late, the company has undertaken a number of acquisitions like buying of smaller and financially troubled utility SCANA and acquiring its controlled midstream partnership to further widen its portfolio.

But all these acquisitions, despite a number of asset sales, has resulted in relatively high leverage for the company compared to peers. With a debt to EBITDA of ~6.4 times at the end of the Q1, Dominion easily sits at the top end of the industry.

Owing to the pressure of such high leverage, the company is likely to opt for a dividend cut as it seeks to maintain its investment-grade credit rating and to ensure a steady income flow for its investors.

Related Ticker: D

D's RSI Indicator climbs out of oversold territory

The RSI Oscillator for D moved out of oversold territory on October 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 29 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 20 of the 29 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 69%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 07, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on D as a result. In 52 of 94 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 55%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for D just turned positive on October 06, 2026. Looking at past instances where D's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 32 of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.

D moved above its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for D crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 27, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 10 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.

Following a +1.21% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where D advanced for three days, in 166 of 317 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 52%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 100 of 245 cases where D Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 41%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 4 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

The 50-day moving average for D moved below the 200-day moving average on October 22, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where D declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 57%.

D broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 28 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 48 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. D’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 67 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.051) is normal, around the industry mean (2.052). P/E Ratio (22.611) is within average values for comparable stocks, (14.633). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.343) is also within normal values, averaging (1.785). Dividend Yield (0.041) settles around the average of (0.053) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.048) is also within normal values, averaging (187.392).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 74 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 87 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. D’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 51, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Nextera Energy Inc (NYSE:NEE), Southern Company (The) (NYSE:SO), Dominion Energy (NYSE:D), PG&E Corp (NYSE:PCG), NRG Energy (NYSE:NRG).

Industry description

Electric utilities companies generate, transmit and distribute electricity to businesses/offices and residences. Companies may be owned by the government or investors or public shareholders, or a combination thereof. The industry also includes firms that buy and sell electricity. Companies in this industry typically require significant investments in infrastructure. Many firms in this industry pay substantial and regular dividends to shareholders. However, changes in interest rates (and their impact on debt burdens), natural disasters and changing commodity prices could be factors affecting energy utilities’ profit margins. NextEra Energy, Inc., Duke Energy Corporation, Dominion Energy Inc. and Southern Company are among U.S. electric utilities companies with the largest market capitalizations.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Electric Utilities Industry is 29.02B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 300 to 171.34B. NEE holds the highest valuation in this group at 171.34B. The lowest valued company is SLTZ at 300.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Electric Utilities Industry was 0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 4%, and the average quarterly price growth was -10%. IMSR experienced the highest price growth at 21%, while ELPC experienced the biggest fall at -22%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Electric Utilities Industry was -25%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -16% and the average quarterly volume growth was 7%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 50
P/E Growth Rating: 57
Price Growth Rating: 54
SMR Rating: 69
Profit Risk Rating: 50
Seasonality Score: 39 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a producer of electricity, natural gas and related services

Industry ElectricUtilities

Industry
Electric Utilities
Address
600 East Canal Street
Phone
+1 804 819-2284
Employees
15200
Web
https://www.dominionenergy.com
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