Is Exxon Short of 'Energy'?
Exxon Mobil produced less energy, and missed profit expectations in the latest quarter.
The energy major’s total production dropped by -7% globally in Q2. Its output has declined in eight out of the past nine quarters.
Its biggest production plunge (-30%) in Q2 happened in Europe. The firm also cited planned maintenance as a factor behind lower production.
Exxon’s Q2 profit rose by 18% to $3.95 billion, falling short of projections.
But there's still some potential chance for the company to bounce back – thanks to its +30% production growth in Permian Basin of West Texas and Bakken of North Dakota last quarter, and the firm’s plans of investing billions of dollars in overseas projects that it hopes will bolster long-term growth.
Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
CVX in +2.50% Uptrend, growing for three consecutive days on September 09, 2026
Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where CVX advanced for three days, in 238 of 384 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on August 10, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CVX as a result. In 53 of 89 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CVX just turned positive on September 01, 2026. Looking at past instances where CVX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 31 of 53 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 206 of 360 cases where CVX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 57%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for CVX moved out of overbought territory on September 14, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 15 of the 44 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 34%.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 8 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CVX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 40%.
CVX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 01, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 9 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 27, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 20 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. CVX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 38 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 43 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.192) is normal, around the industry mean (1.972). P/E Ratio (20.421) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.351). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.937) is also within normal values, averaging (1.563). Dividend Yield (0.033) settles around the average of (0.038) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.010) is also within normal values, averaging (3.922).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 63 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
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a company which explores and refines oil and natural gas
Industry IntegratedOil
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