Is GDP Growth Real?
We had great news this morning – the first reading of GDP for the second quarter was 4.1%. We should be very happy with this reading – this is the fastest growth in four years. And the President promised us (after the announcement) that we will see even better times.
Two main components of GDP growth were consumer spending (2.69% contribution to growth) and net exports (1.06% contribution). While consumer spending has deep roots in consumer confidence, low unemployment and low inflation, the second component is questionable. One of the explanations for such a large contribution was the desire of exporting companies to increase exports before new tariffs are introduced.
Is that good news for the markets? The total value of all U.S. Stocks is now about 154% of GDP – with the historical average being about 130% according to Bloomberg. We are not making any predictions about the stock market directions – but want you to think about this data and remove the rose-colored glasses that some of the politicians like to wear all the time.
DIA's RSI Indicator recovers from overbought zone
The 10-day RSI Indicator for DIA moved out of overbought territory on May 20, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In of the 45 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on June 17, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on DIA as a result. In of 82 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for DIA turned negative on June 13, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DIA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DIA advanced for three days, in of 374 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 325 cases where DIA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
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