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Jul 30, 2018
Is Heineken's Brazil Conquest Squeezing Its Margins?

Is Heineken's Brazil Conquest Squeezing Its Margins?

Heineken NV’s Brazil expansion is apparently pressuring its profit margins.

Last year, the Dutch brewing company bought the Japanese firm Kirin Holdings Co.’s Brazil business – an acquisition that established Heineken as Brazil’s second-largest brewer. Heineken is now apparently going hammer and tongs at bolstering its Brazil presence and competing with Anheuser-Busch InBev in the country.

Heineken’s marketing strategies and focus on sales growth is pushing up costs and squeezing its margins. The company expects its operating profit margin for the full-year 2018 to decline by about 20 basis points, amid its business expansion in Brazil and adverse moves in currency. Adjusted operating profit increased 1.3 percent to 1.75 billion euros ($2 billion) in the first half of the year, falling short of analysts’ estimates.

Related Ticker: BUD

BUD in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on June 04, 2026

BUD may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 33 cases where BUD's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on June 11, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on BUD as a result. In of 76 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BUD advanced for three days, in of 313 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 243 cases where BUD Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for BUD moved out of overbought territory on May 28, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 29 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 29 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for BUD turned negative on May 29, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BUD declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.806) is normal, around the industry mean (2.302). P/E Ratio (22.571) is within average values for comparable stocks, (18.855). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.902) is also within normal values, averaging (2.798). BUD has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.016) as compared to the industry average of (0.036). P/S Ratio (2.646) is also within normal values, averaging (1.670).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. BUD’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. BUD’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Anheuser-Busch INBEV SA/NV (NYSE:BUD), Constellation Brands (NYSE:STZ), Molson Coors Beverage Company (NYSE:TAP).

Industry description

The meat, fish, and dairy food industry processes livestock, fish and milk products for consumer consumption. Some companies also process dairy byproducts. Tyson Foods, Inc., Hormel Foods Corporation and Pilgrims Pride Corp. are some of the biggest producers in this industry. Many of these companies are recipients of American farm subsidies. On the other hand, new-age food innovation like plant-based meat substitutes (which are designed to simulate chicken, beef, and pork sausage) could potentially augur disruptions and/or create new competition in this space.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy Industry is 41.41B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 317.04K to 158.84B. BUD holds the highest valuation in this group at 158.84B. The lowest valued company is ENHD at 317.04K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy Industry was 3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 3%, and the average quarterly price growth was 12%. CCU experienced the highest price growth at 8%, while FMX experienced the biggest fall at 3%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy Industry was 2%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -12% and the average quarterly volume growth was 5%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 25
P/E Growth Rating: 57
Price Growth Rating: 51
SMR Rating: 68
Profit Risk Rating: 81
Seasonality Score: -16 (-100 ... +100)
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BUD
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Last 5 trading days
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a holding company whose subsidiaries manufactures and distributes alcoholic and non-alcoholic beverages

Industry FoodMeatFishDairy

Profile
Details
Industry
Beverages Alcoholic
Address
Brouwerijplein 1
Phone
+32 16276111
Employees
154540
Web
https://www.ab-inbev.com
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Is Heineken's Brazil Conquest Squeezing Its Margins?