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Jan 08, 2019
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Is PG&E (PCG, $17.31) in a Downward Spiral?

Is PG&E (PCG, $17.31) in a Downward Spiral?

Shares of the embattled utility company, PG&E, tumbled as much as 17% on Tuesday after S&P Global relegated the utility’s credit rating to junk, with a negative outlook on the back of its potential liability in the California wildfires.

S&P downgraded the rating on PG&E and its subsidiary Pacific Power & Gas from BBB-, the lowest tier of investment-grade ratings, to B (which is deep into junk territory) citing political and regulatory pressure and uncertainty surrounding its potential liabilities.

To make matters more challenging, PG&E's is likely to face much higher interest rates in the event they need to borrow money to fund penalties and operations. S&P Global also indicated limiting PG&E’s capital access to secured debt issuance, citing credit risk and speculation of a potential bankruptcy, thereby further limiting its financing options.

Much like its stock shares, PG&E’s largest bond, a $3 billion note due in March 2034 with a 6.05% coupon, dropped to a record-low bid price of $0.915 on the dollar while its yield rose to nearly 7%.

Related Ticker: PCG

Momentum Indicator for PCG turns positive, indicating new upward trend

PCG saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 28, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 94 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 64 of the 94 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 68%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where PCG's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 18 of 27 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for PCG just turned positive on September 30, 2026. Looking at past instances where PCG's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 32 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.

Following a +0.83% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PCG advanced for three days, in 185 of 313 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 59%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PCG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.

PCG broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for PCG entered a downward trend on October 08, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 31 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.234) is normal, around the industry mean (2.054). P/E Ratio (9.561) is within average values for comparable stocks, (15.083). PCG's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.499) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.785). Dividend Yield (0.015) settles around the average of (0.053) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.159) is also within normal values, averaging (187.392).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. PCG’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 70 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 75 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. PCG’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 51, placing this stock worse than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 80 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Nextera Energy Inc (NYSE:NEE), Southern Company (The) (NYSE:SO), Dominion Energy (NYSE:D), PG&E Corp (NYSE:PCG), NRG Energy (NYSE:NRG).

Industry description

Electric utilities companies generate, transmit and distribute electricity to businesses/offices and residences. Companies may be owned by the government or investors or public shareholders, or a combination thereof. The industry also includes firms that buy and sell electricity. Companies in this industry typically require significant investments in infrastructure. Many firms in this industry pay substantial and regular dividends to shareholders. However, changes in interest rates (and their impact on debt burdens), natural disasters and changing commodity prices could be factors affecting energy utilities’ profit margins. NextEra Energy, Inc., Duke Energy Corporation, Dominion Energy Inc. and Southern Company are among U.S. electric utilities companies with the largest market capitalizations.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Electric Utilities Industry is 29.69B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 300 to 175.91B. NEE holds the highest valuation in this group at 175.91B. The lowest valued company is SLTZ at 300.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Electric Utilities Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 3%, and the average quarterly price growth was -7%. NKLR experienced the highest price growth at 8%, while OKLO experienced the biggest fall at -14%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Electric Utilities Industry was 3%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -18% and the average quarterly volume growth was -10%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 49
P/E Growth Rating: 57
Price Growth Rating: 50
SMR Rating: 68
Profit Risk Rating: 51
Seasonality Score: 13 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a provider of electric energy services and transports natural gas

Industry ElectricUtilities

Industry
Electric Utilities
Address
300 Lakeside Drive
Phone
+1 415 973-1000
Employees
29010
Web
https://www.pgecorp.com
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