In an environment of increasingly health-conscious consumers and heightened health regulatory measures, Phillip Morris International seems to be tapering its cigarette business to focus more on healthier alternatives.
In 2018, the company plans to invest almost $600 million in reduced risk products (RRP’s) or low-risk smoking alternatives – which includes its smokeless cigarettes, iQOS. Additionally, the company is transforming more and more of its plants from cigarette to RRP manufacturing facilities.
Apparently to boost its move towards healthier alternatives, Philip Morris recently made a deal with Canada-based Parallax that provides low-risk alternatives of tobacco.
Not only are more consumers becoming health-conscious, but the FDA is also tightening its leash on cigarette producers. The regulatory body has made it mandatory for tobacco companies to use precautionary labels on cigarette packets, and is reportedly trying to have manufacturers to reduce nicotine to low levels in their cigarettes. The effects might already be seeping in. During Q2 2018, Philip Morris total cigarette shipment volume declined 1.5% in Q2, following a 5.3% fall in its shipment volumes Q1.
PM saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on April 18, 2024. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 84 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 84 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for PM just turned positive on April 19, 2024. Looking at past instances where PM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
PM moved above its 50-day moving average on April 17, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for PM crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on April 22, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The 50-day moving average for PM moved above the 200-day moving average on April 25, 2024. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PM advanced for three days, in of 352 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The 10-day RSI Indicator for PM moved out of overbought territory on April 25, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 46 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 5 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
PM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on April 19, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for PM entered a downward trend on April 22, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (3.328). P/E Ratio (18.768) is within average values for comparable stocks, (12.468). PM's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.202) is slightly lower than the industry average of (16.126). Dividend Yield (0.054) settles around the average of (0.064) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.153) is also within normal values, averaging (29.280).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 82, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. PM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a manufacturer of cigarettes and other tobacco products
Industry Tobacco