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Jun 11, 2022

J. M. Smucker (SJM, $128.21) beats analysts' expectations

J. M. Smucker reported its quarterly earnings that surpassed analysts’ expectations.

The food manufacturing company’s earnings came in at $2.23 per share for the quarter, handily topping analysts’ consensus estimates of $1.88. The EPS was $1.89 in the prior year quarter.

Revenue grew +5.9% from the year-ago quarter to  $2.03 billion,  also surpassing analysts’ expectations of $1.98 billion.

J. M. Smucker updated its outlook for FY23 to the range $7.85-8.25 EPS, compared to the consensus earnings estimate of $8.91. The company’s revenue guidance is $8.28 billion-$8.36 billion, compared to the consensus estimate of $8.01 billion.

Related Ticker: SJM

SJM's Indicator enters downward trend

The Aroon Indicator for SJM entered a downward trend on April 23, 2024. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 176 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 176 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

SJM moved below its 50-day moving average on April 01, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SJM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where SJM's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 24 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on April 22, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SJM as a result. In of 100 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SJM just turned positive on April 22, 2024. Looking at past instances where SJM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 57 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SJM advanced for three days, in of 340 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

SJM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.752) is normal, around the industry mean (8.292). P/E Ratio (22.422) is within average values for comparable stocks, (26.814). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.551) is also within normal values, averaging (2.471). Dividend Yield (0.034) settles around the average of (0.043) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.581) is also within normal values, averaging (62.729).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. SJM’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Mondelez International (NASDAQ:MDLZ), Kraft Heinz Company (The) (NASDAQ:KHC), General Mills (NYSE:GIS), Campbell Soup Company (NYSE:CPB), Beyond Meat (NASDAQ:BYND).

Industry description

A specialty/candy manufacturer specializes in one or more of the following: chocolate, candies, pasta, condiments, seasonings, among other items. Hershey Company, McCormick & Company and J.M. Smucker Company are some of the major firms in this segment. Demand for this industry’s products comes from both institutions/restaurants as well as households.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Food: Specialty/Candy Industry is 8.47B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 6.25K to 327.81B. NSRGY holds the highest valuation in this group at 327.81B. The lowest valued company is OGGFF at 6.25K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Food: Specialty/Candy Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 13%, and the average quarterly price growth was 21%. CULTF experienced the highest price growth at 114%, while VTSYF experienced the biggest fall at -24%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Food: Specialty/Candy Industry was 8%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 36% and the average quarterly volume growth was 20%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 51
P/E Growth Rating: 67
Price Growth Rating: 58
SMR Rating: 76
Profit Risk Rating: 78
Seasonality Score: 0 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a producer of fruit spreads, peanut butter and other food products

Industry FoodSpecialtyCandy

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Food Specialty Or Candy
Address
One Strawberry Lane
Phone
+1 330 682-3000
Employees
5800
Web
https://www.jmsmucker.com
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