Jabil (JBL) gets bullish signal as it hits support at its 50-day moving average
Electronics manufacturer Jabil (NYSE: JBL) had an incredible run in January and February, jumping the $23 area all the way up to $29.50. The stock was in overbought territory from mid-January until the end of February, at least based on the daily stochastic readings.
The stock recently pulled back from the February high and dropped down to the $26.50 area and has since bounced back a little. The Tickeron AI Prediction tool generated a bullish signal on March 18. That signal calls for a 2% gain over the coming week and it showed a 71% confidence level. Previous predictions on Jabil have been accurate 66% of the time.
Looking at the daily chart we see that the pullback was halted just above the 50-day moving average and the stock has been hovering just above the ascending trend line for several days now. We also see that the pullback caused the daily stochastic readings to move from overbought to oversold, but the indicators just made a bullish crossover.
Jabil’s fundamentals are a mixed bag. Earnings have grown by an average of 13% per year over the last three years, but they were down by 3% in the most recent quarter. Sales have grown by an average of 9% per year over the last three years and jumped by 14% in the most recent quarter.
Even the management efficiency measurements are mixed. The return on equity is above average at 21.3%, but the profit margin is below average at only 2.7%.
JBL sees MACD Histogram just turned negative
JBL saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on April 15, 2024. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 46 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on April 15, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on JBL as a result. In of 79 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
JBL moved below its 50-day moving average on April 09, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for JBL crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on March 25, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 20 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where JBL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 6 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where JBL advanced for three days, in of 357 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
JBL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.456) is normal, around the industry mean (3.315). P/E Ratio (10.419) is within average values for comparable stocks, (30.998). JBL's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.897). Dividend Yield (0.003) settles around the average of (0.026) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.495) is also within normal values, averaging (11.265).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. JBL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
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General Information
a manufacturer of electronics products
Industry ElectronicComponents