JD.com (JD, $28.73) finally breaks its losing streak, reports revenue growth of 22%
After losing nearly 40% of its value over the past 12 months, Chinese online retailer, JD.com, finally broke out of its losing trend after the company reported its fourth-quarter earnings. The company reported annual revenue growth of 22% to $19.6 billion (134.8 billion RMB) beating estimates by $210 million, according to its latest Q4 report.
Non-GAAP net income of JD for the quarter rose 67% to 749.9 million RMB ($109.1 million), or $0.07 per ADS, which beat the estimates by $0.12. However, on a GAAP basis, its net loss widened from 0.9 billion RMB a year ago to 4.8 billion RMB ($0.7 billion), or $0.40 per ADS.
Over the past year, investors have been really concerned about the company’s performance. Compared to Q4 2017, the results of Q4 2018 showed deceleration in JD's annual growth in GMV (gross merchandise volume), active customers, and revenue.
But JD expects a revenue rise of 18% to 22% in the first quarter, matching Wall Street expectations. Its non-GAAP earnings are also likely to improve 30%, and all these indicate that JD’s growth could be stabilizing.
Moving away from its core marketplace, JD has also been diversifying its business by offering its logistics services to other retailers like the Japanese e-commerce giant Rakuten (RKUNY) along with selling more ads across its marketplace. Therefore, revenue from these high-margin services saw a 50% annual in 2018 and accounted for ~10% of its revenue, up from 8% in 2017.
Other JD.com investments include the launching of Mini Programs on Tencent’s WeChat last year, and its ever-increasing ties with Walmart (WMT) in terms of delivery services.
JD is also intensifying its Prime-like "JD Plus" subscription program, which locks in customers with discounts, curated products, VIP customer service, and access to premium digital content from partners like iQiyi.
JD's Indicator enters downward trend
The Aroon Indicator for JD entered a downward trend on June 26, 2025. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 239 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 239 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on June 18, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on JD as a result. In of 104 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The 50-day moving average for JD moved below the 200-day moving average on May 30, 2025. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where JD declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 65 cases where JD's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for JD just turned positive on June 26, 2025. Looking at past instances where JD's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where JD advanced for three days, in of 267 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
JD may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.414) is normal, around the industry mean (4.294). P/E Ratio (7.790) is within average values for comparable stocks, (50.412). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.777) is also within normal values, averaging (1.419). Dividend Yield (0.031) settles around the average of (0.084) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.292) is also within normal values, averaging (6.690).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. JD’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. JD’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a provider of online shopping services
Industry InternetRetail
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