JD.com reported its fourth-quarter earnings that exceeded analysts’ expectations, even amid slower sales growth.
The Chinese e-commerce company’s adjusted earnings per ADR came in at 2.21 yuan (35 cents) , well above 28 cents expected by analysts polled by FactSet. Earnings were also higher compared to the year-ago quarter’s 1.49 yuan.
Net revenue in the quarter grew +23% year-over-year to 275.9 billion yuan ($43.3 billion), compared to analyst’ forecast of $43.5 billion.
According to the company, annual active customer accounts in 2021 climbed nearly +21% to 569.7 million, but fell short of the Street forecasts.
The Aroon Indicator for JD entered a downward trend on May 04, 2023. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 224 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 224 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 23, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on JD as a result. In of 92 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for JD turned negative on May 25, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where JD declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where JD's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 30 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 5 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where JD advanced for three days, in of 294 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
JD may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.708) is normal, around the industry mean (18.872). P/E Ratio (18.797) is within average values for comparable stocks, (71.991). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.704) is also within normal values, averaging (2.590). Dividend Yield (0.019) settles around the average of (0.039) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.351) is also within normal values, averaging (8.411).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. JD’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. JD’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 95, placing this stock worse than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a provider of online shopping services
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, JD has been closely correlated with BABA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 82% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if JD jumps, then BABA could also see price increases.