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May 15, 2020

JD.com's (JD, $49.74) Q1 sales surge more than +20% year-over-year

JD.com  posted first-quarter sales that soared from the year-ago level,  although earnings declined over the same period.

The online retail company’s  sales for the first quarter came in at $120.6 billion, which is +20.7% higher from the same quarter of 2019.

However, net income of 10 cents an American depositary receipt, was far below the 70 cents per ADR that it earned in the first quarter of 2019.

JD.com’s fulfillment expenses (which include procurement, warehousing, delivery, customer service and payment processing expenses) increased by +29% for the first quarter.

JD.com experienced a surge in consumer demand even amidst the coronavirus pandemic, as inactive and infrequent customers returned to the platform, according to the company. Annual active customer accounts climbed almost + 25% year-over-year to 387.4 million as of March 31. Mobile daily active users increased by +46% over the same period.

Related Ticker: JD

Aroon Indicator for JD shows an upward move is likely

JD's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on November 27, 2023. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 202 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 202 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for JD just turned positive on October 27, 2023. Looking at past instances where JD's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The 10-day moving average for JD crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 27, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where JD advanced for three days, in of 301 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 30, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on JD as a result. In of 94 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

JD moved below its 50-day moving average on November 29, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where JD declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

JD broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 15, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.373) is normal, around the industry mean (17.831). P/E Ratio (13.333) is within average values for comparable stocks, (70.543). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.982) is also within normal values, averaging (2.634). Dividend Yield (0.022) settles around the average of (0.036) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.297) is also within normal values, averaging (4.267).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. JD’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. JD’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock worse than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN), Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA), PDD Holdings (NASDAQ:PDD), JD.com (NASDAQ:JD), eBay (NASDAQ:EBAY), Vipshop Holdings Limited (NYSE:VIPS), Chewy (NYSE:CHWY), Wayfair (NYSE:W), Just Eat Takeaway.com NV (OTC:JTKWY), Revolve Group (NYSE:RVLV).

Industry description

The internet retail industry includes companies that sell products and services through the Internet. With more and more consumers using online retailers, the companies have seen a big increase in the use of their services. Some of the companies in the group are focused on selling business-to-business products and services. Others sell business-to-consumer products and services. Internet retailers offer a wide variety of products like books, apparel, and electronics. Some companies even specialize in only one or two categories. One potentially critical factor for players to thrive in this space is the quality and speed of product delivery. This requires an investment in efficient distribution networks. Things like logistics are important factors in the success in the extremely competitive industry. For a company to stay relevant in the industry it must have effective pricing strategies and upgraded websites. The websites must be easy to navigate and engaging for customers. In addition to the revenues generated from straight sales, internet retailers can generate revenue from subscription fees and advertising. Amazon.com, Inc., Alibaba Group, and JD.com are some of the global leaders.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Internet Retail Industry is 30.43B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 30 to 1.52T. AMZN holds the highest valuation in this group at 1.52T. The lowest valued company is YUKA at 30.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Internet Retail Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 10%, and the average quarterly price growth was 32%. NEGG experienced the highest price growth at 86%, while FTCH experienced the biggest fall at -26%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Internet Retail Industry was 159%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 23% and the average quarterly volume growth was -16%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 63
P/E Growth Rating: 68
Price Growth Rating: 59
SMR Rating: 76
Profit Risk Rating: 91
Seasonality Score: 5 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I.Advisor
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A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a provider of online shopping services

Industry InternetRetail

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Internet Retail
Address
No. 18 Kechuang 11 Street
Phone
+86 1089118888
Employees
450679
Web
https://www.jd.com
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JD and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, JD has been closely correlated with BABA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if JD jumps, then BABA could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To JD
1D Price
Change %
JD100%
-0.98%
BABA - JD
85%
Closely correlated
-1.19%
BZUN - JD
72%
Closely correlated
-5.70%
DADA - JD
68%
Closely correlated
+6.17%
PDD - JD
65%
Loosely correlated
-1.47%
VIPS - JD
64%
Loosely correlated
-2.31%
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