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Sep 08, 2022
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John Wiley & Sons Inc. (WLY, $41.60) misses fiscal Q1 earnings expectations

John Wiley & Sons Inc. (WLY, $41.60) misses fiscal Q1 earnings expectations

John Wiley & Sons Inc. reported fiscal first quarter adjusted earnings of $0.36 per share, which was below consensus of $0.67.

Sales fell - 0.1% year-on-year to $487.57 million, missing the consensus estimate of $501.60 million.

Revenue from Research was flat, Academic & Professional Learning decreased -5%, and that from Education Services rose by +7%. Adjusted EBITDA margin was 13.1%, narrowing from 19.5% a year ago.

John Wiley reaffirmed its FY23 forecast on sales range of $2.125 billion to $2.165 billion, compared to consensus expectation of $2.14 billion. The companyโ€™s adjusted EPS guidance is $3.70 to $4.05 a share, vs. consensus estimate of $3.85.

Related Ticker: WLY

WLY's Stochastic Oscillator descending into oversold zone

The Stochastic Oscillator for WLY moved into oversold territory on October 30, 2026. Be on the watch for the price uptrend or consolidation in the future. At that time, consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

WLY moved above its 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for WLY crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 8 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 53%.

Following a +5.92% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where WLY advanced for three days, in 212 of 324 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 115 of 208 cases where WLY Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 55%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for WLY moved out of overbought territory on October 23, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 25 of the 41 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 61%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 28, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on WLY as a result. In 52 of 80 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for WLY turned negative on October 29, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 33 of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 72%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where WLY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 62%.

WLY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 37 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 41 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. WLYโ€™s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 76 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.254) is normal, around the industry mean (-1.030). P/E Ratio (13.573) is within average values for comparable stocks, (11.972). WLY's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (13.047) is slightly higher than the industry average of (5.351). Dividend Yield (0.028) settles around the average of (0.218) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.559) is also within normal values, averaging (1.204).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 77 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. WLYโ€™s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 81 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Industry description

The newspaper publishing industry includes companies that publish and market news journals and daily/weekly newspapers. News Corporation, New York Times Company, and Gannett Co., Inc. are some of the largest newspaper publishers. Commercial ad revenue helps to cover plant and equipment costs and general and administrative expense. The popularity and distribution network of newspaper publishers could affect the fees they can charge on advertisements. In recent decades, with digital content grabbing advertising dollars, long-standing publishing companies have increasingly diversified into creating their own web-based content to stay in business.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Publishing: Newspapers Industry is 3.21B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 3.77K to 14.47B. IFPJF holds the highest valuation in this group at 14.47B. The lowest valued company is XLMDF at 3.77K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Publishing: Newspapers Industry was -0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 1%, and the average quarterly price growth was -6%. TNMG experienced the highest price growth at 20%, while TDAY experienced the biggest fall at -10%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Publishing: Newspapers Industry was 539%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 333% and the average quarterly volume growth was 306%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 53
P/E Growth Rating: 50
Price Growth Rating: 53
SMR Rating: 73
Profit Risk Rating: 79
Seasonality Score: 18 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a publisher of print and electronic products

Industry PublishingNewspapers

Industry
Publishing Books Or Magazines
Address
111 River Street
Phone
+1 201 748-6000
Employees
4500
Web
https://www.wiley.com
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