John Wiley & Sons Inc. (WLY, $41.60) misses fiscal Q1 earnings expectations
John Wiley & Sons Inc. reported fiscal first quarter adjusted earnings of $0.36 per share, which was below consensus of $0.67.
Sales fell - 0.1% year-on-year to $487.57 million, missing the consensus estimate of $501.60 million.
Revenue from Research was flat, Academic & Professional Learning decreased -5%, and that from Education Services rose by +7%. Adjusted EBITDA margin was 13.1%, narrowing from 19.5% a year ago.
John Wiley reaffirmed its FY23 forecast on sales range of $2.125 billion to $2.165 billion, compared to consensus expectation of $2.14 billion. The company’s adjusted EPS guidance is $3.70 to $4.05 a share, vs. consensus estimate of $3.85.
WLY sees MACD Histogram just turned negative
WLY saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on November 29, 2024. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 50 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 27, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on WLY as a result. In of 90 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
WLY moved below its 50-day moving average on December 03, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for WLY crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on December 09, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where WLY declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where WLY advanced for three days, in of 332 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
WLY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 254 cases where WLY Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. WLY’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. WLY’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.811) is normal, around the industry mean (2.767). WLY has a moderately high P/E Ratio (112.903) as compared to the industry average of (39.901). WLY's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (13.047) is slightly higher than the industry average of (6.419). Dividend Yield (0.036) settles around the average of (0.044) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.113) is also within normal values, averaging (23.505).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
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Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
General Information
a publisher of print and electronic products
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