According to J.P Morgan’s head of Asia Pacific oil and gas, Scott Darling, if OPEC members do not continue with their production cut for the entirety of 2019 -- promised at 1.2 million barrels off the oil market per day -- then Brent crude prices could find it extremely difficult to rise again.
In an early December meeting, OPEC members and non-OPEC allies had come to an agreement that 1.2 million barrels a day would be removed from the oil market for the first six months of the new year, starting January 2019. The goal of the move is to address the growing imbalance between global supply and demand. But with oil prices suffering their worst annual loss since 2015, according to the analyst, this commitment must be followed not just for the first six months but for the entire year to support prices.
With Brent falling another ~1% on Wednesday, J.P Moran further adds that if this commitment is not followed through then oil barrel prices could come down to as low as $55 per barrel or may hit even lower levels in 2019.
This low price scenario can happen due to sluggish demand for crude and uncertainty of OPEC members to follow through their commitment of oil reduction.
But if things go according to the plan, according to JP Morgan, Brent crude prices could average at $73 a barrel in 2019.
Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where JPM declined for three days, in of 283 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on April 11, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on JPM as a result. In of 85 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for JPM turned negative on April 03, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
JPM moved below its 50-day moving average on April 12, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where JPM advanced for three days, in of 333 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
JPM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 286 cases where JPM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 59, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. JPM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: JPM's P/B Ratio (1.907) is slightly higher than the industry average of (0.945). P/E Ratio (12.258) is within average values for comparable stocks, (8.857). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.448) is also within normal values, averaging (2.584). Dividend Yield (0.021) settles around the average of (0.100) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.779) is also within normal values, averaging (2.430).
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a major bank
Industry MajorBanks