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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Jan 15, 2019
JP Morgan (JPM, $100.94) Misses Earnings Estimate; But Has +70% Growth in Profit

JP Morgan (JPM, $100.94) Misses Earnings Estimate; But Has +70% Growth in Profit

Despite registering a solid year-over-year increase in the fourth quarter, JP Morgan’s profit fell short of analysts’ expectations.

The bank's earnings per share of $1.98 was below the $2.20 per share average estimate of analysts surveyed by Refinitiv. This is the first time in 15 years that JP Morgan profit missed quarterly estimates - and the bank’s trading desks are apparently to blame. Producing $1.86 billion in revenue, the fixed-income trading segment fell short of the $2.2 billion estimate.

The company's total revenue increased +4 percent to $26.8 billion,  but was slightly below analysts' $26.84 billion estimate.

Nevertheless, the bank raked in $7.1 billion in total profit – which is nearly +70% higher compared to the year ago period. It is also a fourth quarter record. The firm also experienced a +9% increase to $14.5 billion in net interest income on loan growth and rising interest rates. Its net interest margin of 2.54 percent was 3 basis points higher from the previous quarter, and matched analysts' expectations.

Related Ticker: JPM

JPM's Stochastic Oscillator slumps into oversold zone

The Stochastic Oscillator for JPM moved into oversold territory on March 06, 2026. Be on the watch for the price uptrend or consolidation in the future. At that time, consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where JPM advanced for three days, in of 360 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on February 23, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on JPM as a result. In of 82 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for JPM turned negative on February 13, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

JPM moved below its 50-day moving average on February 11, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where JPM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

JPM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on February 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 29, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. JPM’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: JPM's P/B Ratio (2.280) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.406). P/E Ratio (14.460) is within average values for comparable stocks, (13.009). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.629) is also within normal values, averaging (4.113). JPM has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.020) as compared to the industry average of (0.040). P/S Ratio (4.429) is also within normal values, averaging (3.609).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are JPMorgan Chase & Co (NYSE:JPM), Bank of America Corp (NYSE:BAC), HSBC Holdings PLC (NYSE:HSBC), Wells Fargo & Co (NYSE:WFC), Citigroup (NYSE:C), Bank of New York Mellon Corp (NYSE:BK), Barclays PLC (NYSE:BCS).

Industry description

Major banks are among the biggest companies in the world, often times with global reach and market capitalizations in the multi-billions. Large banks often have multiple arms spanning different disciplines, from deposits, to investment banking, to wealth management and insurance. The biggest banks often have key competitive advantages over smaller players in the industry in terms of brand recognition, cost of capital, and efficiency. Think J.P. Morgan, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, and Citigroup.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Major Banks Industry is 143.06B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.04M to 807.46B. JPM holds the highest valuation in this group at 807.46B. The lowest valued company is BACRP at 1.04M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Major Banks Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -3%, and the average quarterly price growth was 14%. BACRP experienced the highest price growth at 32%, while INGVF experienced the biggest fall at -14%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Major Banks Industry was -96%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -98% and the average quarterly volume growth was -97%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 66
P/E Growth Rating: 40
Price Growth Rating: 50
SMR Rating: 10
Profit Risk Rating: 28
Seasonality Score: -38 (-100 ... +100)
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These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. JPM showed earnings on January 13, 2026. You can read more about the earnings report here.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a major bank

Industry MajorBanks

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Major Banks
Address
383 Madison Avenue
Phone
+1 212 270-6000
Employees
309926
Web
https://www.jpmorganchase.com
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