Despite registering a solid year-over-year increase in the fourth quarter, JP Morgan’s profit fell short of analysts’ expectations.
The bank's earnings per share of $1.98 was below the $2.20 per share average estimate of analysts surveyed by Refinitiv. This is the first time in 15 years that JP Morgan profit missed quarterly estimates - and the bank’s trading desks are apparently to blame. Producing $1.86 billion in revenue, the fixed-income trading segment fell short of the $2.2 billion estimate.
The company's total revenue increased +4 percent to $26.8 billion, but was slightly below analysts' $26.84 billion estimate.
Nevertheless, the bank raked in $7.1 billion in total profit – which is nearly +70% higher compared to the year ago period. It is also a fourth quarter record. The firm also experienced a +9% increase to $14.5 billion in net interest income on loan growth and rising interest rates. Its net interest margin of 2.54 percent was 3 basis points higher from the previous quarter, and matched analysts' expectations.
The RSI Oscillator for JPM moved out of oversold territory on April 19, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 31 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 31 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 58 cases where JPM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
JPM moved above its 50-day moving average on April 22, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where JPM advanced for three days, in of 335 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
JPM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 286 cases where JPM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on April 11, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on JPM as a result. In of 84 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for JPM turned negative on April 03, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
The 10-day moving average for JPM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on April 22, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where JPM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 59, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. JPM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: JPM's P/B Ratio (1.907) is slightly higher than the industry average of (0.945). P/E Ratio (12.258) is within average values for comparable stocks, (8.857). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.448) is also within normal values, averaging (2.584). Dividend Yield (0.021) settles around the average of (0.100) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.779) is also within normal values, averaging (2.430).
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a major bank
Industry MajorBanks