JP Morgan (JPM, $113.38) misses Q2 expectations on earnings and revenue
JPMorgan Chase reported its second quarter earnings that were lower than expected by analysts. The banking giant also announced that it is halting share buybacks. It mentioned setting aside $428 million for potential loan losses.
The bank’s earnings plunged -28% from the year-ago quarter to $8.65 billion or $2.76 per share Thursday, missing the analyst expectations of $2.88 per share (according to data from FactSet).
Total revenue slumped -27.6% year-over-year to $31.63 billion, also falling short of the $31.95 billion predicted by FactSet analysts.
Investment banking revenue plunged -61% to $1.4 billion, hurt by lower fees from deals and debt and equity issuances. Trading revenue, however, was up +15% on increases in both fixed income and equity trading revenues.
Profits at the consumer bank decreased +45% and profits at the investment bank fell -26%. The losses were partially offset by a +15% increase in trading fees in the second quarter.
“Geopolitical tension, high inflation, waning consumer confidence, the uncertainty about how high rates have to go and the never-before-seen quantitative tightening and their effects on global liquidity, combined with the war in Ukraine and its harmful effect on global energy and food prices are very likely to have negative consequences on the global economy sometime down the road,” CEO Jamie Dimon mentioned in a statement.
The bank reported $1.1 billion in provision for credit losses. Last year, it released $3 billion from its reserves.
Momentum Indicator for JPM turns positive, indicating new upward trend
JPM saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on May 26, 2023. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 84 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 84 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where JPM advanced for three days, in of 314 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 235 cases where JPM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for JPM moved out of overbought territory on April 25, 2023. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 39 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 39 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 62 cases where JPM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for JPM turned negative on May 23, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where JPM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. JPM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.452) is normal, around the industry mean (0.934). P/E Ratio (10.101) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.462). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.879) is also within normal values, averaging (3.201). JPM has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.029) as compared to the industry average of (0.056). P/S Ratio (2.982) is also within normal values, averaging (2.334).
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