JP Morgan (JPM, $115.00) beats Q2 earnings estimates, but lowers full-year net interest income forecast
On Tuesday, J.P. Morgan Chase reported its latest quarterly earnings that exceeded analysts’ expectations.
The financial behemoth’s second-quarter profit surged +16% year-over-year to a record of $9.65 billion, or $2.82 a share - beating the $2.50 estimate of analysts surveyed by Refinitiv.
J.P. Morgan said that an apparent one-time tax advantage came from the resolution of “certain tax audits” that boosted the company’s per share earnings by 23 cents.
Total revenue for the company increased +4% to $29.57 billion, surpassing analysts’ expectations of $28.9 billion.
The bank’s revenue from its fixed income trading business increased +7% to $3.69 billion, which exceeded estimate of $3.36 billion. But its equities trading division revenue fell -12% to $1.73 billion, missing analysts’ estimate of $1.84 billion.
The company lowered its forecast for 2019 net interest income to $57.5 billion, compared with its prior prediction of $58 billion.
Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
JPM sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line
JPM saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on August 14, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 46 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for JPM moved out of overbought territory on August 13, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 44 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on August 19, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on JPM as a result. In of 83 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where JPM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where JPM advanced for three days, in of 359 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 324 cases where JPM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 20, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. JPM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: JPM's P/B Ratio (2.643) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.897). P/E Ratio (15.063) is within average values for comparable stocks, (15.307). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.719) is also within normal values, averaging (1.603). JPM has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.017) as compared to the industry average of (0.026). P/S Ratio (4.926) is also within normal values, averaging (3.937).
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a major bank
Industry MajorBanks
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