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Jan 16, 2021
JP Morgan (JPM, $138.87) beats Q4 earnings estimates, on strong trading revenue and release of reserves

JP Morgan (JPM, $138.87) beats Q4 earnings estimates, on strong trading revenue and release of reserves

JPMorgan Chase reported fourth quarter earnings  that topped analysts’ estimates, thanks to  record trading performance and the effect of releasing funds previously set aside for loan losses.

The banking behemoth’s earnings for the quarter came in at $3.79 a share, surpassing the $2.62 per share estimate of analysts surveyed by Refinitiv. Three was a 72 cent per share boost from credit-reserve releases.

Revenue of $30.16 billion also exceeded the $28.7 billion expected by analysts.

JP Morgan experienced a record fourth quarter in its trading segment. Equities trading revenue of $1.99 billion exceeded the $1.84 billion estimate from analysts surveyed by Refinitiv.  Fixed income revenue of $3.95 billion was just below the $4.12 billion estimate.

CEO Jamie Dimon mentioned news of effective coronavirus vaccines and fresh round of government stimulus as reasons for taking down the bank’s reserves. According to the company, it released $2.9 billion from its cash reserves set aside  for expected loan defaults in the quarter, leading to $1.9 billion boost after around $1 billion in charge-offs.

Last month, JPMorgan announced a $30 billion share buyback program  following the Federal Reserve’s nod to big banks on resuming repurchases  in the first quarter.

 

Related Ticker: JPM

JPM sees its Stochastic Oscillator ascending out of oversold territory

On August 26, 2026, the Stochastic Oscillator for JPM moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 54 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In of the 54 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 03, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on JPM as a result. In of 84 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where JPM advanced for three days, in of 363 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 325 cases where JPM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for JPM moved out of overbought territory on August 13, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 43 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for JPM turned negative on August 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where JPM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 19, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. JPM’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: JPM's P/B Ratio (2.696) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.953). P/E Ratio (15.366) is within average values for comparable stocks, (15.654). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.668) is also within normal values, averaging (1.405). JPM has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.017) as compared to the industry average of (0.025). P/S Ratio (5.025) is also within normal values, averaging (4.034).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are JPMorgan Chase & Co (NYSE:JPM), Bank of America Corp (NYSE:BAC), HSBC Holdings PLC (NYSE:HSBC), Wells Fargo & Co (NYSE:WFC), Citigroup (NYSE:C), Barclays PLC (NYSE:BCS).

Industry description

Major banks are among the biggest companies in the world, often times with global reach and market capitalizations in the multi-billions. Large banks often have multiple arms spanning different disciplines, from deposits, to investment banking, to wealth management and insurance. The biggest banks often have key competitive advantages over smaller players in the industry in terms of brand recognition, cost of capital, and efficiency. Think J.P. Morgan, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, and Citigroup.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Major Banks Industry is 219.44B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.04M to 953.33B. JPM holds the highest valuation in this group at 953.33B. The lowest valued company is BACRP at 1.04M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Major Banks Industry was 3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 1%, and the average quarterly price growth was 33%. ING experienced the highest price growth at 6%, while JPM experienced the biggest fall at 0%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Major Banks Industry was -17%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -37% and the average quarterly volume growth was -43%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 68
P/E Growth Rating: 29
Price Growth Rating: 41
SMR Rating: 4
Profit Risk Rating: 18
Seasonality Score: -28 (-100 ... +100)
Related Portfolios: BANKS
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a major bank

Industry MajorBanks

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Industry
Major Banks
Address
270 Park Avenue
Phone
+1 212 270-6000
Employees
318512
Web
https://www.jpmorganchase.com
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JP Morgan (JPM, $138.87) beats Q4 earnings estimates, on strong trading revenue and release of reserves