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Jan 16, 2021
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JP Morgan (JPM, $138.87) beats Q4 earnings estimates, on strong trading revenue and release of reserves

JP Morgan (JPM, $138.87) beats Q4 earnings estimates, on strong trading revenue and release of reserves

JPMorgan Chase reported fourth quarter earnings  that topped analysts’ estimates, thanks to  record trading performance and the effect of releasing funds previously set aside for loan losses.

The banking behemoth’s earnings for the quarter came in at $3.79 a share, surpassing the $2.62 per share estimate of analysts surveyed by Refinitiv. Three was a 72 cent per share boost from credit-reserve releases.

Revenue of $30.16 billion also exceeded the $28.7 billion expected by analysts.

JP Morgan experienced a record fourth quarter in its trading segment. Equities trading revenue of $1.99 billion exceeded the $1.84 billion estimate from analysts surveyed by Refinitiv.  Fixed income revenue of $3.95 billion was just below the $4.12 billion estimate.

CEO Jamie Dimon mentioned news of effective coronavirus vaccines and fresh round of government stimulus as reasons for taking down the bank’s reserves. According to the company, it released $2.9 billion from its cash reserves set aside  for expected loan defaults in the quarter, leading to $1.9 billion boost after around $1 billion in charge-offs.

Last month, JPMorgan announced a $30 billion share buyback program  following the Federal Reserve’s nod to big banks on resuming repurchases  in the first quarter.

 

Related Ticker: JPM

Momentum Indicator for JPM turns positive, indicating new upward trend

JPM saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on November 02, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 82 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 52 of the 82 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 63%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where JPM's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 15 of 28 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 54%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for JPM just turned positive on October 12, 2026. Looking at past instances where JPM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 27 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.

Following a +2.32% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where JPM advanced for three days, in 217 of 364 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 183 of 342 cases where JPM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 54%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 29 of 57 cases where JPM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 51%.

JPM moved below its 50-day moving average on November 05, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where JPM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.

JPM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 1 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 8 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 21, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 49 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. JPM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 90 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: JPM's P/B Ratio (2.515) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.500). P/E Ratio (14.307) is within average values for comparable stocks, (11.703). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.562) is also within normal values, averaging (2.139). Dividend Yield (0.020) settles around the average of (0.035) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.888) is also within normal values, averaging (3.867).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are JPMorgan Chase & Co (NYSE:JPM), Bank of America Corp (NYSE:BAC), HSBC Holdings PLC (NYSE:HSBC), Wells Fargo & Co (NYSE:WFC), Citigroup (NYSE:C), Barclays PLC (NYSE:BCS).

Industry description

Major banks are among the biggest companies in the world, often times with global reach and market capitalizations in the multi-billions. Large banks often have multiple arms spanning different disciplines, from deposits, to investment banking, to wealth management and insurance. The biggest banks often have key competitive advantages over smaller players in the industry in terms of brand recognition, cost of capital, and efficiency. Think J.P. Morgan, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, and Citigroup.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Major Banks Industry is 195.36B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.04M to 889.14B. JPM holds the highest valuation in this group at 889.14B. The lowest valued company is BACRP at 1.04M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Major Banks Industry was 0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -1%, and the average quarterly price growth was 7%. FRBT experienced the highest price growth at 8%, while SMFG experienced the biggest fall at -4%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Major Banks Industry was -6%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 6% and the average quarterly volume growth was -13%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 59
P/E Growth Rating: 54
Price Growth Rating: 50
SMR Rating: 4
Profit Risk Rating: 20
Seasonality Score: 34 (-100 ... +100)
Related Portfolios: BANKS
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A.I.Advisor
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A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a major bank

Industry MajorBanks

Industry
Major Banks
Address
270 Park Avenue
Phone
+1 212 270-6000
Employees
318512
Web
https://www.jpmorganchase.com
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