GET DAILY SIGNALSJPMorgan (JPM, $114.24 ) Lowers Optimism On Chinese Equities
With the U.S.-China trade war flaring up, some strategists at JPMorgan have lowering their recommendation on Chinese stocks to neutral from overweight.
With the two nations slapping tariffs on goods imported from each other, Chinese manufacturers’ profit margins might be getting hurt – something that's a potential headwind for the nation’s investment and growth. In the latest round of the tariff battle, U.S. President Donald Trump imposed a 10 percent tariff on an additional $200 billion of Chinese goods, to which the Chinese government responded with levies on $60 billion of U.S. products.
JPMorgan reduced its target and earnings estimates for the MSCI China Index, but the strategists still expect the index to rebound to 85 points by the end of the year. So far, the index is down -24% from its January high.
Earlier this year, Morgan Stanley, Nomura Holdings Inc. and Jefferies Group also turned cautious about Chinese stocks.
Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
Momentum Indicator for MCHI turns negative, indicating new downward trend
MCHI saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on October 14, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 89 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 78 of the 89 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 88%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MCHI turned negative on October 16, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 41 of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 85%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MCHI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.
The Aroon Indicator for MCHI entered a downward trend on October 29, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 6 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 9 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
MCHI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
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