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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Jul 14, 2020

JPMorgan (JPM, $98.08) beats Q2 earnings expectations

JPMorgan Chase & Co.'s second quarter earnings came in higher than expected by analysts. However, the financial behemoth announced that it would suspend its share buyback program through to at least the end of September.

JPMorgan’s net income for the three months ending in June was  $4.7 billion, or $1.38 per share, beating the Street estimate of $1.04 per share.  However, the figure is -51% lower from the year-ago quarter.

 Revenue in the quarter increased +11.5% year-over-year to $33 billion, exceeding  analysts' estimates of $30.3 billion.

Amid COVID-19 pandemic, JP Morgan’s loan loss provisions for the second quarter was $10.5 billion, which is +$9.3 billion higher from last year.

The bank said it  will continue to pay its quarterly dividend of 90 cents per share.

According to Tickeron,  JPM's in Uptrend: Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) Histogram just turned positive

This is a Bullish indicator signaling JPM's price could rise. Traders may explore going long on the ticker or buying call options. In 29 of 47 cases where JPM's MACD histogram became positive, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 62%.

Current price $98.08 crossed the resistance line at $96.32 and is trading between $98.75 resistance and $96.32 resistance lines. Throughout the month of 06/10/20 - 07/13/20, the price experienced a -7% Downtrend, while the week of 07/06/20 - 07/13/20 shows a +3% Uptrend.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Indicator suggests the ticker price trend may be in a reversal from a Downtrend to an Uptrend. 27 of 48 cases where JPM's Stochastic Indicator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued Uptrend are 56%.

The Momentum Indicator exceeded the 0 level on July 13, 2020. Traders may consider buying the ticker or exploring call options. In 46 of 83 cases where the ticker's Momentum Indicator exceeded 0, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 55%.

The price moved above its 50-day Moving Average, which indicates a change from a Downtrend to an Uptrend. In 24 of 42 similar backtested cases where JPM's price crossed above its 50-day Moving Average, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 57%.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where JPM advanced for three days, in 155 of 316 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 49%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day Moving Average for this ticker crossed below its 50-day Moving Average on July 01, 2020. This can be construed as a sell signal, indicating that the trend is shifting lower. In 7 of 13 cases where JPM's 10-day Moving Average crossed below its 50-day Moving Average, its price fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 54%.

The Aroon Indicator entered a Downtrend today. In 70 of 147 cases where JPM Aroon's Indicator entered a Downtrend, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 48%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Tickeron has a positive outlook on this ticker and predicts a further increase by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 58%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1.29 to 1.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 56 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. JPM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 73 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: JPM's P/B Ratio (1.36) is slightly higher than the industry average of (0.89). P/E Ratio (11.03) is within average values for comparable stocks, (9.01). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.68) is also within normal values, averaging (7.01). Dividend Yield (2.44) settles around the average of (2.78) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.03) is also within normal values, averaging (1.52).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 93 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

 

 

 

Related Ticker: JPM

Momentum Indicator for JPM turns positive, indicating new upward trend

JPM saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on January 13, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 88 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 88 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for JPM just turned positive on January 06, 2025. Looking at past instances where JPM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where JPM advanced for three days, in of 343 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 286 cases where JPM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for JPM moved out of overbought territory on February 10, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 38 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 38 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 18 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where JPM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

JPM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on February 06, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. JPM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 42, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: JPM's P/B Ratio (1.907) is slightly higher than the industry average of (0.958). P/E Ratio (12.258) is within average values for comparable stocks, (8.937). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.448) is also within normal values, averaging (2.643). JPM has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.021) as compared to the industry average of (0.054). P/S Ratio (3.779) is also within normal values, averaging (2.460).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are JPMorgan Chase & Co (NYSE:JPM), Bank of America Corp (NYSE:BAC), Wells Fargo & Co (NYSE:WFC), HSBC Holdings PLC (NYSE:HSBC), Citigroup (NYSE:C), Barclays PLC (NYSE:BCS).

Industry description

Major banks are among the biggest companies in the world, often times with global reach and market capitalizations in the multi-billions. Large banks often have multiple arms spanning different disciplines, from deposits, to investment banking, to wealth management and insurance. The biggest banks often have key competitive advantages over smaller players in the industry in terms of brand recognition, cost of capital, and efficiency. Think J.P. Morgan, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, and Citigroup.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Major Banks Industry is 89.36B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 191.41M to 573.02B. JPM holds the highest valuation in this group at 573.02B. The lowest valued company is MSL at 191.41M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Major Banks Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 8%, and the average quarterly price growth was 15%. BNDSY experienced the highest price growth at 30%, while CABPF experienced the biggest fall at -9%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Major Banks Industry was -28%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -22% and the average quarterly volume growth was 17%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 47
P/E Growth Rating: 37
Price Growth Rating: 44
SMR Rating: 5
Profit Risk Rating: 42
Seasonality Score: -35 (-100 ... +100)
Related Portfolios: BANKS
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General Information

a major bank

Industry MajorBanks

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Major Banks
Address
383 Madison Avenue
Phone
+1 212 270-6000
Employees
309926
Web
https://www.jpmorganchase.com
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