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Jul 14, 2020
JPMorgan (JPM, $98.08) beats Q2 earnings expectations

JPMorgan (JPM, $98.08) beats Q2 earnings expectations

JPMorgan Chase & Co.'s second quarter earnings came in higher than expected by analysts. However, the financial behemoth announced that it would suspend its share buyback program through to at least the end of September.

JPMorgan’s net income for the three months ending in June was  $4.7 billion, or $1.38 per share, beating the Street estimate of $1.04 per share.  However, the figure is -51% lower from the year-ago quarter.

 Revenue in the quarter increased +11.5% year-over-year to $33 billion, exceeding  analysts' estimates of $30.3 billion.

Amid COVID-19 pandemic, JP Morgan’s loan loss provisions for the second quarter was $10.5 billion, which is +$9.3 billion higher from last year.

The bank said it  will continue to pay its quarterly dividend of 90 cents per share.

According to Tickeron,  JPM's in Uptrend: Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) Histogram just turned positive

This is a Bullish indicator signaling JPM's price could rise. Traders may explore going long on the ticker or buying call options. In 29 of 47 cases where JPM's MACD histogram became positive, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 62%.

Current price $98.08 crossed the resistance line at $96.32 and is trading between $98.75 resistance and $96.32 resistance lines. Throughout the month of 06/10/20 - 07/13/20, the price experienced a -7% Downtrend, while the week of 07/06/20 - 07/13/20 shows a +3% Uptrend.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Indicator suggests the ticker price trend may be in a reversal from a Downtrend to an Uptrend. 27 of 48 cases where JPM's Stochastic Indicator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued Uptrend are 56%.

The Momentum Indicator exceeded the 0 level on July 13, 2020. Traders may consider buying the ticker or exploring call options. In 46 of 83 cases where the ticker's Momentum Indicator exceeded 0, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 55%.

The price moved above its 50-day Moving Average, which indicates a change from a Downtrend to an Uptrend. In 24 of 42 similar backtested cases where JPM's price crossed above its 50-day Moving Average, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 57%.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where JPM advanced for three days, in 155 of 316 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 49%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day Moving Average for this ticker crossed below its 50-day Moving Average on July 01, 2020. This can be construed as a sell signal, indicating that the trend is shifting lower. In 7 of 13 cases where JPM's 10-day Moving Average crossed below its 50-day Moving Average, its price fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 54%.

The Aroon Indicator entered a Downtrend today. In 70 of 147 cases where JPM Aroon's Indicator entered a Downtrend, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 48%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Tickeron has a positive outlook on this ticker and predicts a further increase by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 58%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1.29 to 1.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 56 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. JPM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 73 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: JPM's P/B Ratio (1.36) is slightly higher than the industry average of (0.89). P/E Ratio (11.03) is within average values for comparable stocks, (9.01). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.68) is also within normal values, averaging (7.01). Dividend Yield (2.44) settles around the average of (2.78) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.03) is also within normal values, averaging (1.52).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 93 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

 

 

 

Related Ticker: JPM

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


JPM sees its Stochastic Oscillator climbs out of oversold territory

On August 26, 2026, the Stochastic Oscillator for JPM moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 54 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In of the 54 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 03, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on JPM as a result. In of 84 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where JPM advanced for three days, in of 363 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 325 cases where JPM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for JPM moved out of overbought territory on August 13, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 43 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for JPM turned negative on August 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where JPM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 19, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. JPM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: JPM's P/B Ratio (2.696) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.955). P/E Ratio (15.366) is within average values for comparable stocks, (15.654). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.668) is also within normal values, averaging (1.407). JPM has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.017) as compared to the industry average of (0.025). P/S Ratio (5.025) is also within normal values, averaging (4.035).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are JPMorgan Chase & Co (NYSE:JPM), Bank of America Corp (NYSE:BAC), HSBC Holdings PLC (NYSE:HSBC), Wells Fargo & Co (NYSE:WFC), Citigroup (NYSE:C), Barclays PLC (NYSE:BCS).

Industry description

Major banks are among the biggest companies in the world, often times with global reach and market capitalizations in the multi-billions. Large banks often have multiple arms spanning different disciplines, from deposits, to investment banking, to wealth management and insurance. The biggest banks often have key competitive advantages over smaller players in the industry in terms of brand recognition, cost of capital, and efficiency. Think J.P. Morgan, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, and Citigroup.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Major Banks Industry is 219.18B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.04M to 953.33B. JPM holds the highest valuation in this group at 953.33B. The lowest valued company is BACRP at 1.04M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Major Banks Industry was 3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 2%, and the average quarterly price growth was 32%. ING experienced the highest price growth at 6%, while JPM experienced the biggest fall at 0%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Major Banks Industry was -23%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -41% and the average quarterly volume growth was -47%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 68
P/E Growth Rating: 29
Price Growth Rating: 40
SMR Rating: 7
Profit Risk Rating: 18
Seasonality Score: -30 (-100 ... +100)
Related Portfolios: BANKS
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General Information

a major bank

Industry MajorBanks

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Industry
Major Banks
Address
383 Madison Avenue
Phone
+1 212 270-6000
Employees
309926
Web
https://www.jpmorganchase.com
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