Gold started moving higher last September as investors sought some safety as global equity markets started falling. When stocks started rallying after Christmas, gold continued to rally and reached a price of just shy of $1,350 an ounce on February 20. The price of gold fell back down to the $1,280 area from the high through March 7 before rallying back up to $1,325. It pulled back again last week but it looks like it is ready to rally again.
The VanEck Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (NYSE: GDXJ) is highly correlated to the price of gold and it also rallied in the fourth quarter and through the February 20 high. The highs from September, October, and September all connect to form the upper rail of an upwardly sloped channel. The lower rail is more of an estimate at this point because the only contact point is the low from November. If that estimated rail turns out to be accurate, the fund just hit the lower rail.
We see that the daily stochastic readings are in oversold territory and just made a bullish crossover on April 3. In addition to that potential bullish signal, the Tickeron AI Prediction tool generated a bullish signal on March 1. The signal showed a confidence level of 77% and past predictions have been accurate 88% of the time.
The signal from the prediction tool calls for a gain of at least 4% over the next month, but I think the fund rallies up to at least up to $33.50 and that would mean a gain of at least 8%.
The 10-day RSI Indicator for GDXJ moved out of overbought territory on July 17, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 28 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In of the 28 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at .
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
Category PreciousMetals