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Mar 07, 2023

Kala Pharmaceuticals (KALA, $22.34 ) Q4 earnings miss estimates

Kala Pharmaceuticals (KALA) recently reported its fourth-quarter earnings, which missed estimates, causing some concern among investors. The company reported a loss of $0.32 per share, missing the consensus estimate of a loss of $0.29 per share. Despite the miss, the company's revenue beat expectations, coming in at $14.6 million compared to the expected $13.8 million.

The Q4 earnings miss is certainly a cause for concern, but it's important to consider the larger picture when evaluating KALA as an investment opportunity. One positive sign for the company is the recent crossover of its 50-day moving average above its 200-day moving average on February 17, 2023. This technical indicator, known as a "golden cross," is a bullish signal that suggests the stock is shifting to an upward trend.

Moving averages are commonly used by technical analysts to identify trends and potential buy/sell signals. The 50-day moving average is a short-term trend indicator, while the 200-day moving average is a long-term trend indicator. When the 50-day moving average crosses above the 200-day moving average, it suggests that the stock is gaining momentum and could continue to rise in the future.

Overall, Kala Pharmaceuticals' Q4 earnings miss is undoubtedly noteworthy, but it's crucial to consider more than just one quarter's worth of data. Recent golden crosses for the company are possibly bullish signs that might point to a longer-term higher trend for the stock.

Related Ticker: KALA

Momentum Indicator for KALA turns positive, indicating new upward trend

KALA saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on February 28, 2024. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 78 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 78 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for KALA just turned positive on February 16, 2024. Looking at past instances where KALA's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where KALA advanced for three days, in of 222 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 88 cases where KALA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

KALA moved below its 50-day moving average on February 23, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for KALA crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on February 02, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where KALA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

KALA broke above its upper Bollinger Band on February 22, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.723) is normal, around the industry mean (28.710). P/E Ratio (11.062) is within average values for comparable stocks, (126.778). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (6.089). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.031) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (23.419) is also within normal values, averaging (402.645).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. KALA’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. KALA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:REGN), Moderna (NASDAQ:MRNA), Incyte Corp (NASDAQ:INCY), Sarepta Therapeutics (NASDAQ:SRPT), Exelixis (NASDAQ:EXEL), Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:ARWR), BioCryst Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:BCRX), Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp (NASDAQ:ADPT), Novavax (NASDAQ:NVAX), Inovio Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:INO).

Industry description

Biotechnology involves genetic or protein engineering to produce medicines/therapies for treating and preventing ailments. The industry also provides crucial ingredients for diagnostics. This multi-billion-dollar industry is heavily focused on research and development, as companies attempt to continually come up with cutting-edge solutions for health. New discoveries for the treatment of diseases provide opportunities for growth for a company in this industry. Discoveries, however, must pass the regulatory approval from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) before they can make it to markets. Amgen Inc., Gilead Sciences, Inc. and Celgene Corporation are examples of companies in this industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Biotechnology Industry is 2.59B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 402 to 541.24B. NVO holds the highest valuation in this group at 541.24B. The lowest valued company is PNEXF at 402.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Biotechnology Industry was 6%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 17%, and the average quarterly price growth was 44%. VANI experienced the highest price growth at 287%, while KA experienced the biggest fall at -69%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Biotechnology Industry was 10%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 55% and the average quarterly volume growth was 180%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 50
P/E Growth Rating: 86
Price Growth Rating: 52
SMR Rating: 94
Profit Risk Rating: 93
Seasonality Score: 7 (-100 ... +100)
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KALADaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a developer of ophthalmic treatments based on its mucosal penetrating product platform

Industry Biotechnology

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Pharmaceuticals Major
Address
1167 Massachusetts Avenue
Phone
+1 781 996-5252
Employees
34
Web
https://www.kalarx.com
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KALA and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor tells us that KALA and ATHE have been poorly correlated (+32% of the time) for the last year. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is low statistical probability that KALA and ATHE's prices will move in lockstep.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To KALA
1D Price
Change %
KALA100%
-0.07%
ATHE - KALA
32%
Poorly correlated
-1.84%
PALI - KALA
31%
Poorly correlated
+2.20%
HOTH - KALA
30%
Poorly correlated
-2.31%
ARDX - KALA
30%
Poorly correlated
-1.48%
FWBI - KALA
27%
Poorly correlated
+3.68%
More
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