KB Home reported third quarter adjusted earnings of $2.86 per share, which surpassed the consensus estimate of $2.69 (according to Zacks Equity Research). The figure implies a +79% surge from than the year-ago quarter, on the back of solid revenues and margin growth.
Revenues for the quarter climbed +26% from the year-ago quarter to $1.845 billion, missing the consensus estimate of $1.86 billion.
The homebuilding segment’s revenues increased +25.8% year-over-year to $1.84 billion. The number of homes delivered rose +5.5% from the year-ago quarter to 3,615 units, while the average selling price climbed +19% to $508,700. Net orders fell -50.1% year-over-year to 2,040 homes, amidst lower demand due to higher mortgage rates, inflation, and other macroeconomic and geopolitical challenges.
Revenues from the Financial Services segment were up +15.4% year over year to $6 million. Pretax income was down -51.1% from a year ago, reflecting a significant decline in the equity in income of its mortgage banking joint venture, KBHS Home Loans, LLC.
For the fiscal fourth quarter, KB Home expects housing revenues in the range of $1.95-$2.05 billion, vs. $1.67 billion in the year-ago quarter. The company predicts Average Selling Price to be $503,000, and expects homebuilding operating margin (assuming no inventory-related charges) to be around 16.7% (vs. the year ago figure of 12.9%).
KB Home expects housing gross margin (assuming no inventory-related charges) in the range of 25-26%, compared to 22.4% reported a year ago.
Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where KBH declined for three days, in of 268 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for KBH entered a downward trend on January 08, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where KBH's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 15 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 62 cases where KBH's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for KBH just turned positive on January 07, 2025. Looking at past instances where KBH's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where KBH advanced for three days, in of 321 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
KBH may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 62, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.366) is normal, around the industry mean (7.196). P/E Ratio (9.519) is within average values for comparable stocks, (103.177). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (1.437). Dividend Yield (0.011) settles around the average of (0.044) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.876) is also within normal values, averaging (88.859).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. KBH’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a constructor and seller single family homes as well as condominium complexes
Industry Homebuilding