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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Jun 11, 2020

Keurig Dr. Pepper's (KDP, $28.68) largest shareholder is selling 10.1% stake

Beverage company Keurig Dr. Pepper's  largest shareholder Maple Holdings B.V. (a subsidiary of JAB Holdings B.V.) , is planning to sell a 10.1% stake.  The stake represents around 143 million common shares.

The shares will be distributed to minority partners, who are affiliates of BDT Capital Partners, affiliates of Quadrant Capital Advisors and the JAB Consumer Fund.

Maple owned 868.75 million shares, or 61.7% of Keurig's shares outstanding, as of May 20. After the sale, JAB and subsidiary Maple will jointly own 52.6% of Keurig Dr Pepper.

KDP enters an Uptrend as Momentum Indicator exceeded the 0 level on May 15, 2020

This indicator signals that KDP's price has momentum to move higher, since its current price moved above its price 14 days ago. Traders may consider buying the ticker or exploring call options. In 46 of 83 cases where KDP's Momentum Indicator exceeded 0, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 55%

Current price $28.69 crossed the resistance line at $28.31 and is trading between $29.11 resistance and $28.31 resistance lines. Throughout the month of 05/08/20 - 06/10/20, the price experienced a +8% Uptrend. During the week of 06/03/20 - 06/10/20, the stock enjoyed a +0.10% Uptrend growth.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) just turned positive. Considering data from situations where KDP's MACD histogram became positive, in 23 of 46 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 50%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 120 of 280 similar cases where KDP Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 43%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Indicator may be shifting from an Uptrend to a Downtrend. In 29 of 62 cases where KDP's Stochastic indicator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 47%.

The higher Bollinger Band was broken -- a price fall is expected as the ticker heads toward the middle band, which invites the trader to consider selling or shorting the ticker, or exploring put options. In 28 of 49 cases where KDP's price broke its higher Bollinger Band, its price dropped further during the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 57%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Tickeron has a positive outlook on this ticker and predicts a further increase by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 49%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1.62 to 1.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 9 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 22 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 67, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 51 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. KDP’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 65 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.77) is normal, around the industry mean (1.19). P/E Ratio (34.29) is within average values for comparable stocks, (88.06). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.00) is also within normal values, averaging (0.92). Dividend Yield (2.07) settles around the average of (1.31) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.07) is also within normal values, averaging (3.28).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 95 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

Related Ticker: KDP

KDP's RSI Oscillator climbs out of oversold territory

The RSI Indicator for KDP moved out of oversold territory on January 13, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 26 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 26 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 56 cases where KDP's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for KDP just turned positive on February 12, 2025. Looking at past instances where KDP's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

KDP moved above its 50-day moving average on February 13, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where KDP advanced for three days, in of 318 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 296 cases where KDP Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on February 12, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on KDP as a result. In of 89 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where KDP declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

KDP broke above its upper Bollinger Band on February 03, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.646) is normal, around the industry mean (77.968). P/E Ratio (20.155) is within average values for comparable stocks, (31.456). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (6.482) is also within normal values, averaging (5.903). Dividend Yield (0.027) settles around the average of (0.027) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.970) is also within normal values, averaging (3.240).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. KDP’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Coca-Cola Company (NYSE:KO), PepsiCo (NASDAQ:PEP).

Industry description

Non-alcoholic drinks include traces of alcohol or low alcohol content or without alcohol or alcohol removed. Functional Beverages, Carbonated Soft Drinks (CSDs), Sports Drinks, Fruit Beverages, and Bottled Water are some common types of non-alcoholic beverages. The largest segment in this market is soft drinks (think Pepsi and Coke). Many established companies in this space have also been stepping up production of low to zero-calorie varieties in recent years, to cater to a rising number of health-conscious consumers. Coca-Cola Company, Pepsico Inc, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. and Monster Beverage Corporation are some major non-alcoholic beverage makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Beverages: Non-Alcoholic Industry is 22.49B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.77K to 263.76B. KO holds the highest valuation in this group at 263.76B. The lowest valued company is BVNNF at 1.77K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Beverages: Non-Alcoholic Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 9%, and the average quarterly price growth was 3%. GUROF experienced the highest price growth at 13%, while ZVIA experienced the biggest fall at -10%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Beverages: Non-Alcoholic Industry was 56%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 72% and the average quarterly volume growth was 116%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 61
P/E Growth Rating: 68
Price Growth Rating: 55
SMR Rating: 62
Profit Risk Rating: 74
Seasonality Score: -35 (-100 ... +100)
Related Portfolios: CONSUMER STAPLES ETFs
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General Information

a manufacturer of non-alcoholic beverages

Industry BeveragesNonAlcoholic

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Beverages Non Alcoholic
Address
53 South Avenue
Phone
+1 781 418-7000
Employees
28100
Web
https://www.keurigdrpepper.com
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