Abhoy Sarkar's Avatar
published in Blogs
Jun 11, 2020

Keurig Dr. Pepper's (KDP, $28.68) largest shareholder is selling 10.1% stake

Beverage company Keurig Dr. Pepper's  largest shareholder Maple Holdings B.V. (a subsidiary of JAB Holdings B.V.) , is planning to sell a 10.1% stake.  The stake represents around 143 million common shares.

The shares will be distributed to minority partners, who are affiliates of BDT Capital Partners, affiliates of Quadrant Capital Advisors and the JAB Consumer Fund.

Maple owned 868.75 million shares, or 61.7% of Keurig's shares outstanding, as of May 20. After the sale, JAB and subsidiary Maple will jointly own 52.6% of Keurig Dr Pepper.

KDP enters an Uptrend as Momentum Indicator exceeded the 0 level on May 15, 2020

This indicator signals that KDP's price has momentum to move higher, since its current price moved above its price 14 days ago. Traders may consider buying the ticker or exploring call options. In 46 of 83 cases where KDP's Momentum Indicator exceeded 0, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 55%

Current price $28.69 crossed the resistance line at $28.31 and is trading between $29.11 resistance and $28.31 resistance lines. Throughout the month of 05/08/20 - 06/10/20, the price experienced a +8% Uptrend. During the week of 06/03/20 - 06/10/20, the stock enjoyed a +0.10% Uptrend growth.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) just turned positive. Considering data from situations where KDP's MACD histogram became positive, in 23 of 46 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 50%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 120 of 280 similar cases where KDP Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 43%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Indicator may be shifting from an Uptrend to a Downtrend. In 29 of 62 cases where KDP's Stochastic indicator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 47%.

The higher Bollinger Band was broken -- a price fall is expected as the ticker heads toward the middle band, which invites the trader to consider selling or shorting the ticker, or exploring put options. In 28 of 49 cases where KDP's price broke its higher Bollinger Band, its price dropped further during the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 57%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Tickeron has a positive outlook on this ticker and predicts a further increase by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 49%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1.62 to 1.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 9 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 22 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 67, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 51 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. KDP’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 65 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.77) is normal, around the industry mean (1.19). P/E Ratio (34.29) is within average values for comparable stocks, (88.06). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.00) is also within normal values, averaging (0.92). Dividend Yield (2.07) settles around the average of (1.31) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.07) is also within normal values, averaging (3.28).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 95 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

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