Abhoy Sarkar's Avatar
published in Blogs
Aug 18, 2020

Kohl's (KSS, $19.55) posts narrower-than-expected loss for Q2

Kohl’s  reported second quarter loss narrower than expected.

The department store chain’s adjusted loss came in at -25 cents a share, compared to analysts’ expectations of  -88 cents a share loss (based on FactSet poll). In the year-ago period, it had earnings of $1.55 a share.

Sales down -23% year-over-year to $3.4 billion. But it was better than the $3.1 billion expected by analysts polled by FactSet.

The company’s online sales surged +58%.

Tickeron's analysis says, KSS enters an Uptrend as Momentum Indicator exceeded the 0 level on August 07, 2020

This indicator signals that KSS's price has momentum to move higher, since its current price moved above its price 14 days ago. Traders may consider buying the ticker or exploring call options. In 65 of 86 cases where KSS's Momentum Indicator exceeded 0, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 76%.

Current price $19.57 crossed the resistance line at $20.37 and is trading between $20.37 resistance and $19.42 resistance lines. Throughout the month of 07/16/20 - 08/17/20, the price experienced a +3% Uptrend. During the week of 08/10/20 - 08/17/20, the stock enjoyed a +3% Uptrend growth.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) just turned positive. Considering data from situations where KSS's MACD histogram became positive, in 33 of 44 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 75%.

The price moved above its 50-day Moving Average, which indicates a change from a Downtrend to an Uptrend. In 42 of 62 similar backtested cases where KSS's price crossed above its 50-day Moving Average, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 68%.

The 10-day Moving Average for this ticker crossed above its 50-day Moving Average on August 14, 2020, which can be construed as a buy signal, indicating that the trend is shifting higher. In 13 of 20 similar cases where KSS's 10-day Moving Average crossed above its 50-day Moving Average, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 65%.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where KSS advanced for three days, in 237 of 338 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 70%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 164 of 217 similar cases where KSS Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 76%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Indicator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 5 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

The higher Bollinger Band was broken -- a price fall is expected as the ticker heads toward the middle band, which invites the trader to consider selling or shorting the ticker, or exploring put options. In 33 of 37 cases where KSS's price broke its higher Bollinger Band, its price dropped further during the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 89%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Tickeron has a positive outlook on this ticker and predicts a further increase by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 66%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1.22 to 1.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 3 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.77) is normal, around the industry mean (2.06). P/E Ratio (46.25) is within average values for comparable stocks, (27.24). KSS's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.00) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (7.06). Dividend Yield (6.27) settles around the average of (4.14) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.15) is also within normal values, averaging (0.83).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 6 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 10 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. KSS’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. KSS’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock worse than average.

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