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Aug 18, 2020

Kohl's (KSS, $19.55) posts narrower-than-expected loss for Q2

Kohl’s  reported second quarter loss narrower than expected.

The department store chain’s adjusted loss came in at -25 cents a share, compared to analysts’ expectations of  -88 cents a share loss (based on FactSet poll). In the year-ago period, it had earnings of $1.55 a share.

Sales down -23% year-over-year to $3.4 billion. But it was better than the $3.1 billion expected by analysts polled by FactSet.

The company’s online sales surged +58%.

Tickeron's analysis says, KSS enters an Uptrend as Momentum Indicator exceeded the 0 level on August 07, 2020

This indicator signals that KSS's price has momentum to move higher, since its current price moved above its price 14 days ago. Traders may consider buying the ticker or exploring call options. In 65 of 86 cases where KSS's Momentum Indicator exceeded 0, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 76%.

Current price $19.57 crossed the resistance line at $20.37 and is trading between $20.37 resistance and $19.42 resistance lines. Throughout the month of 07/16/20 - 08/17/20, the price experienced a +3% Uptrend. During the week of 08/10/20 - 08/17/20, the stock enjoyed a +3% Uptrend growth.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) just turned positive. Considering data from situations where KSS's MACD histogram became positive, in 33 of 44 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 75%.

The price moved above its 50-day Moving Average, which indicates a change from a Downtrend to an Uptrend. In 42 of 62 similar backtested cases where KSS's price crossed above its 50-day Moving Average, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 68%.

The 10-day Moving Average for this ticker crossed above its 50-day Moving Average on August 14, 2020, which can be construed as a buy signal, indicating that the trend is shifting higher. In 13 of 20 similar cases where KSS's 10-day Moving Average crossed above its 50-day Moving Average, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 65%.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where KSS advanced for three days, in 237 of 338 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 70%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 164 of 217 similar cases where KSS Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 76%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Indicator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 5 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

The higher Bollinger Band was broken -- a price fall is expected as the ticker heads toward the middle band, which invites the trader to consider selling or shorting the ticker, or exploring put options. In 33 of 37 cases where KSS's price broke its higher Bollinger Band, its price dropped further during the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 89%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Tickeron has a positive outlook on this ticker and predicts a further increase by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 66%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1.22 to 1.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 3 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.77) is normal, around the industry mean (2.06). P/E Ratio (46.25) is within average values for comparable stocks, (27.24). KSS's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.00) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (7.06). Dividend Yield (6.27) settles around the average of (4.14) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.15) is also within normal values, averaging (0.83).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 6 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 10 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. KSS’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. KSS’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock worse than average.

Related Ticker: KSS

KSS in -2.10% downward trend, falling for three consecutive days on May 22, 2024

Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where KSS declined for three days, in of 325 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

KSS broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 13, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where KSS's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 32 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 58 cases where KSS's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on May 13, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on KSS as a result. In of 86 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for KSS just turned positive on April 23, 2024. Looking at past instances where KSS's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

KSS moved above its 50-day moving average on May 13, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for KSS crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on May 20, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where KSS advanced for three days, in of 300 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 240 cases where KSS Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.755) is normal, around the industry mean (2.578). P/E Ratio (9.295) is within average values for comparable stocks, (62.740). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.831) is also within normal values, averaging (1.636). KSS has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.075) as compared to the industry average of (0.028). P/S Ratio (0.168) is also within normal values, averaging (0.489).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. KSS’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. KSS’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Macy's (NYSE:M), Nordstrom (NYSE:JWN), Kohls Corp (NYSE:KSS).

Industry description

A department store sells a wide variety of consumer goods under different “departments,” including (but not necessarily limited to) apparel, household appliances, home furnishings, personal care products, cosmetics, consumer electronics. During healthy macroeconomic conditions, consumers typically won’t shy away from big-ticket purchases; but during a downturn, consumer spending might get limited to the most necessary/daily essentials. Several department stores purchase items on bulk from manufacturers for resale to consumers at a profit. Some of the largest department stores companies in the U.S. include Kohl’s Corporation, Macy’s Inc., and Ollie’s Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Department Stores Industry is 3.43B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 208.1K to 12.34T. MHRTF holds the highest valuation in this group at 12.34T. The lowest valued company is BONT at 208.1K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Department Stores Industry was 8%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 9%, and the average quarterly price growth was 25%. LHUAF experienced the highest price growth at 193%, while ELPQF experienced the biggest fall at -4%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Department Stores Industry was -5%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -29% and the average quarterly volume growth was -66%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 38
P/E Growth Rating: 57
Price Growth Rating: 56
SMR Rating: 82
Profit Risk Rating: 86
Seasonality Score: 13 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

an operator of department stores

Industry DepartmentStores

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Department Stores
Address
N56 W17000 Ridgewood Drive
Phone
+1 262 703-7000
Employees
96000
Web
https://www.kohls.com
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