Kohl's (KSS) has been experiencing a significant downtrend this month, losing 16.57% of its value and closing at $22.88 per share. This downtrend is not unique to KSS, as all 37 stocks analyzed in the Department Stores Industry experienced a downtrend this month, with none showing any uptrend.
A.I.dvisor, a stock analysis platform, has found 268 similar cases in which KSS's price dropped 10% within one month. In 144 of these cases, KSS's price continued to decline in the subsequent month. Based on this historical data, A.I.dvisor predicts a 54% chance of a downtrend continuation for KSS.
However, there may be some positive news for KSS investors as of March 30, 2023. The Stochastic Oscillator for KSS has moved out of oversold territory, which could indicate a bullish sign for the stock. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor has analyzed 53 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone and found that in 44 of these cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher for KSS at over 83%.
Overall, while historical data suggests a high likelihood of a downtrend continuation for KSS, the recent movement of the Stochastic Oscillator out of oversold territory provides a potential opportunity for traders to buy the stock or buy call options. As always, it is important for investors to conduct their own research and make informed decisions before making any investments.
Financial analyst and market blogger with expertise in equity research, fundamental analysis, and macroeconomic trends. I regularly publish coverage on individual stocks, ETFs, and sector developments — combining rigorous financial analysis with clear, engaging writing for a broad investment audience.
KSS saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on September 24, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 97 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 73 of the 97 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 75%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for KSS just turned positive on September 24, 2026. Looking at past instances where KSS's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 37 of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
KSS moved above its 50-day moving average on September 29, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for KSS crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 05, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 8 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 53%.
Following a +3.28% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where KSS advanced for three days, in 194 of 266 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 4 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where KSS declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 82%.
The Aroon Indicator for KSS entered a downward trend on September 04, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 19 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.495) is normal, around the industry mean (2.246). P/E Ratio (7.803) is within average values for comparable stocks, (10.619). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.342) is also within normal values, averaging (1.329). Dividend Yield (0.027) settles around the average of (0.020) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.124) is also within normal values, averaging (19.276).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 41 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. KSS’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 79 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 95 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. KSS’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock worse than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
an operator of department stores
Industry DepartmentStores