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Jan 10, 2019
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Kohl's (KSS, $69.9) Shares Drop -7%, Following Slower Same-Store Sales Compared to a Year Ago

Kohl's (KSS, $69.9) Shares Drop -7%, Following Slower Same-Store Sales Compared to a Year Ago

Kohl’s Corp. shares plunged  -7.2% on Thursday, after the retail chain reported weaker sales growth for the holiday season compared to last year.

Kohl’s same-store sales for the November-to-December holiday period increased +1.2%, less than the year-ago period’s nearly +7%.

However, Michelle Gass, Kohl's CEO, seemed more optimistic. Gass said in a statement, "We are delighted with our 1.2% shifted comparable sales increase for the holiday period, which builds on the positive momentum we have achieved throughout the year". Also, the company raised its expectations for fiscal-year earnings to a range of $5.50-$5.55 a share, from prior projection of $5.35-$5.55 per share. Analysts surveyed by FactSet had estimated Kohl’s fiscal-year profit to be $5.51 a share.

 

 

Related Ticker: KSS

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


Aroon Indicator for KSS shows an upward move is likely

KSS's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on November 10, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 168 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In 132 of the 168 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at 79%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 09, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on KSS as a result. In 67 of 97 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.

Following a +13.98% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where KSS advanced for three days, in 192 of 265 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for KSS moved out of overbought territory on November 05, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 27 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 19 of the 27 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 70%.

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 45 of 57 cases where KSS's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 79%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for KSS turned negative on November 05, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 38 of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 75%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where KSS declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 82%.

KSS broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. KSS’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 67 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.627) is normal, around the industry mean (-9.611). P/E Ratio (9.560) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-121.526). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.342) is also within normal values, averaging (1.329). Dividend Yield (0.022) settles around the average of (0.032) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.124) is also within normal values, averaging (19.276).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 80 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. KSS’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Macy's (NYSE:M), Kohls Corp (NYSE:KSS).

Industry description

A department store sells a wide variety of consumer goods under different “departments,” including (but not necessarily limited to) apparel, household appliances, home furnishings, personal care products, cosmetics, consumer electronics. During healthy macroeconomic conditions, consumers typically won’t shy away from big-ticket purchases; but during a downturn, consumer spending might get limited to the most necessary/daily essentials. Several department stores purchase items on bulk from manufacturers for resale to consumers at a profit. Some of the largest department stores companies in the U.S. include Kohl’s Corporation, Macy’s Inc., and Ollie’s Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Department Stores Industry is 5B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 208.1K to 7.88T. MHRTF holds the highest valuation in this group at 7.88T. The lowest valued company is BONT at 208.1K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Department Stores Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 5%, and the average quarterly price growth was 29%. M experienced the highest price growth at 5%, while PLBL experienced the biggest fall at -5%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Department Stores Industry was 1%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -10% and the average quarterly volume growth was -21%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 52
P/E Growth Rating: 61
Price Growth Rating: 49
SMR Rating: 73
Profit Risk Rating: 78
Seasonality Score: -1 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

an operator of department stores

Industry DepartmentStores

Industry
Department Stores
Address
N56 W17000 Ridgewood Drive
Phone
+1 262 703-7000
Employees
84000
Web
https://www.kohls.com
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