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Aug 18, 2021

Krispy Kreme (DNUT, $14.04) beats revenue estimates, misses earnings forecast by a cent

Shares of Krispy Kreme  rose after hours Tuesday following second quarter revenue that surpassed analysts’ expectations.  Earnings, however, fell a cent short of estimates.

The donut company’s second quarter revenue rose +42.6% from the year-ago quarter to $349.2 million , compared to analysts’ expectations of $333.4 million.

Earnings came in at 13 cents per share, vs. analysts’ estimates of 14 cents per share.

Revenue in the U.S. and Canada increased $230.9 million compared to $184.3 million in the prior-year quarter. International net revenue grew to $89.2 million from $34.4 million a year ago.

For the full year, the company projects revenue in the range of $1.34 billion to $1.38 billion, while analysts forecast was $1.34 billion.

Related Ticker: DNUT

DNUT in -4.94% downward trend, falling for three consecutive days on February 27, 2024

Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where DNUT declined for three days, in of 169 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on March 01, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on DNUT as a result. In of 43 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for DNUT turned negative on February 26, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 28 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 28 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

The 10-day moving average for DNUT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on January 24, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 8 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for DNUT entered a downward trend on February 23, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

The 50-day moving average for DNUT moved above the 200-day moving average on February 09, 2024. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DNUT advanced for three days, in of 153 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

DNUT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.799) is normal, around the industry mean (4.329). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (28.723). DNUT's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (2.762). DNUT has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.011) as compared to the industry average of (0.026). P/S Ratio (1.245) is also within normal values, averaging (48.614).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. DNUT’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. DNUT’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 73, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Kroger Co (The) (NYSE:KR).

Industry description

The food retail industry includes companies that sell food, beverage and household products. Items sold include grocery, gourmet food, fresh produce, and frozen food. Kroger Co., George Weston Ltd., Grocery Outlet Holding Corp., and Sprouts Farmers Markets, Inc. are examples of major food retailers. While e-commerce companies like Amazon have increasingly been ramping-up offerings in the food retail space, several traditional players have also been expanding their online presence to stand their ground against rising competition.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Food Retail Industry is 10.53B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 30.44K to 36.97B. SVNDY holds the highest valuation in this group at 36.97B. The lowest valued company is QKLS at 30.44K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Food Retail Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 1%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4%. MSS experienced the highest price growth at 20%, while MFLTY experienced the biggest fall at -49%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Food Retail Industry was -5%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -7% and the average quarterly volume growth was 10%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 35
P/E Growth Rating: 54
Price Growth Rating: 51
SMR Rating: 62
Profit Risk Rating: 73
Seasonality Score: 22 (-100 ... +100)
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DNUTDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

Industry FoodRetail

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
N/A
Address
2116 Hawkins Street
Phone
+1 800 457-4779
Employees
23500
Web
https://www.krispykreme.com
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DNUT and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor tells us that DNUT and ASAI have been poorly correlated (+21% of the time) for the last year. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is low statistical probability that DNUT and ASAI's prices will move in lockstep.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To DNUT
1D Price
Change %
DNUT100%
-3.71%
ASAI - DNUT
21%
Poorly correlated
-0.42%
NGVC - DNUT
20%
Poorly correlated
+0.12%
IMKTA - DNUT
20%
Poorly correlated
-0.91%
ACI - DNUT
18%
Poorly correlated
-0.15%
KR - DNUT
14%
Poorly correlated
-0.91%
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