Krispy Kreme (DNUT, $14.04) beats revenue estimates, misses earnings forecast by a cent
Shares of Krispy Kreme rose after hours Tuesday following second quarter revenue that surpassed analysts’ expectations. Earnings, however, fell a cent short of estimates.
The donut company’s second quarter revenue rose +42.6% from the year-ago quarter to $349.2 million , compared to analysts’ expectations of $333.4 million.
Earnings came in at 13 cents per share, vs. analysts’ estimates of 14 cents per share.
Revenue in the U.S. and Canada increased $230.9 million compared to $184.3 million in the prior-year quarter. International net revenue grew to $89.2 million from $34.4 million a year ago.
For the full year, the company projects revenue in the range of $1.34 billion to $1.38 billion, while analysts forecast was $1.34 billion.
DNUT sees MACD Histogram just turned negative
DNUT saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on November 12, 2024. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 35 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 35 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for DNUT moved out of overbought territory on November 07, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 12 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 12 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
DNUT moved below its 50-day moving average on November 12, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for DNUT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 19, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DNUT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
DNUT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 39 cases where DNUT's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on December 02, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on DNUT as a result. In of 54 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DNUT advanced for three days, in of 192 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 124 cases where DNUT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.188) is normal, around the industry mean (4.678). DNUT has a moderately low P/E Ratio (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (25.294). DNUT's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (2.705). DNUT has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.009) as compared to the industry average of (0.025). P/S Ratio (1.514) is also within normal values, averaging (56.159).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. DNUT’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. DNUT’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 68, placing this stock worse than average.
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