Kroger (KR, $25.60) misses earnings and revenue estimates, posts lower-than-expected guidance
Kroger disappointed on earnings for the latest quarter reported, and put forward a guidance weaker than anticipated.
The supermarket chain raked in adjusted earnings of 48 cents per share for the three months ending in January, falling short of analysts’ expectations of 44 cents per share. The earnings-per-share was also lower than the year-ago quarter’s figure, by more than -11%.
Group sales of the company declined -11% year-over-year to $28.1 billion in the quarter, missing the Street consensus expectation of $23.38 billion.
Looking ahead, Kroger expects full year 2019 earnings to be in the range of $2.15 to $2.25 per share, which is below analysts' estimate of $2.26 per share (based on Refinitiv data).
However, CEO Rodney McMullen sounded optimistic, as he emphasized, "Kroger solidly delivered on what we set out to do in 2018, which was an investment year that laid the groundwork for us to achieve our 2020 Restock Kroger targets including financials.” He is hopeful that the company would achieve $400 million in incremental FIFO operating profit growth and $6.5 billion in cumulative Restock cash flow by the end of 2020.
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Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
KR in upward trend: 10-day moving average moved above 50-day moving average on August 28, 2026
The 10-day moving average for KR crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on August 28, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 10 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 42 of 63 cases where KR's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 11, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on KR as a result. In 61 of 99 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for KR just turned positive on September 11, 2026. Looking at past instances where KR's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 33 of 57 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.
KR moved above its 50-day moving average on September 11, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +3.63% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where KR advanced for three days, in 167 of 306 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 55%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where KR declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.
KR broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 21, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 9 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 16 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.963) is normal, around the industry mean (3.433). P/E Ratio (31.616) is within average values for comparable stocks, (55.435). KR's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.569) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.120). Dividend Yield (0.025) settles around the average of (0.023) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.246) is also within normal values, averaging (11.966).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 61 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. KR’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
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General Information
an operator of supermarkets and convenience stores
Industry FoodRetail
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