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Mar 08, 2019

Kroger (KR, $25.60) misses earnings and revenue estimates, posts lower-than-expected guidance

Kroger disappointed on earnings for the latest quarter reported, and put forward a guidance weaker than anticipated.

The supermarket chain raked in adjusted earnings of 48 cents per share for the three months ending in January, falling short of analysts’ expectations of 44 cents per share. The earnings-per-share was also lower than the year-ago quarter’s figure, by more than -11%.

Group sales of the company declined -11% year-over-year to $28.1 billion in the quarter, missing the Street consensus expectation of $23.38 billion.

Looking ahead, Kroger expects full year 2019 earnings to be in the range of $2.15 to $2.25 per share, which is below analysts' estimate of $2.26 per share (based on Refinitiv data).

However, CEO Rodney McMullen sounded optimistic, as he emphasized, "Kroger solidly delivered on what we set out to do in 2018, which was an investment year that laid the groundwork for us to achieve our 2020 Restock Kroger targets including financials.” He is hopeful that the company would achieve $400 million in incremental FIFO operating profit growth and $6.5 billion in cumulative Restock cash flow by the end of 2020.

Related Ticker: KR

KR sees its Stochastic Oscillator ascends from oversold territory

On April 19, 2024, the Stochastic Oscillator for KR moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 53 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In of the 53 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where KR advanced for three days, in of 338 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

KR may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 243 cases where KR Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for KR moved out of overbought territory on April 04, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 36 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 36 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on April 11, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on KR as a result. In of 98 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for KR turned negative on March 26, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 55 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 55 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where KR declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 72, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.537) is normal, around the industry mean (4.627). P/E Ratio (19.253) is within average values for comparable stocks, (24.829). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.392) is also within normal values, averaging (2.705). Dividend Yield (0.020) settles around the average of (0.025) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.275) is also within normal values, averaging (53.815).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. KR’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Kroger Co (The) (NYSE:KR).

Industry description

The food retail industry includes companies that sell food, beverage and household products. Items sold include grocery, gourmet food, fresh produce, and frozen food. Kroger Co., George Weston Ltd., Grocery Outlet Holding Corp., and Sprouts Farmers Markets, Inc. are examples of major food retailers. While e-commerce companies like Amazon have increasingly been ramping-up offerings in the food retail space, several traditional players have also been expanding their online presence to stand their ground against rising competition.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Food Retail Industry is 11.41B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 30.44K to 41.13B. KR holds the highest valuation in this group at 41.13B. The lowest valued company is QKLS at 30.44K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Food Retail Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -5%, and the average quarterly price growth was -1%. PSBAF experienced the highest price growth at 21%, while MFLTY experienced the biggest fall at -21%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Food Retail Industry was -13%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 7% and the average quarterly volume growth was 12%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 43
P/E Growth Rating: 60
Price Growth Rating: 60
SMR Rating: 70
Profit Risk Rating: 72
Seasonality Score: -15 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I.Advisor
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published General Information

General Information

an operator of supermarkets and convenience stores

Industry FoodRetail

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Food Retail
Address
1014 Vine Street
Phone
+1 513 762-4000
Employees
430000
Web
https://www.thekrogerco.com
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